Author: Steve Holden

  • Eastern Europe: The Quiet Overweight

    Eastern Europe has quietly become a consensus overweight among active EM managers, with ownership levels grinding higher over the past three years across Poland, Greece and Hungary in particular. The regional story is, at its core, a Financials trade — concentrated in a handful of companies, led by an increasingly dominant OTP Bank. In this month’s report, we examine how active capital is positioned across the region, where conviction is building, and what the structural shape of that investment looks like beneath the surface.

    → 60% of EM funds are overweight Eastern Europe, with average weights climbing steadily from the lows of mid-2022 — Poland, Greece and Hungary all sit at or near all-time ownership highs

    → OTP Bank has seen a remarkable breakout, now held by a record 44.8% of funds, while Greek Financials have established a growing and increasingly stable investor base following strong ownership gains from 2022 through 2025

    → The regional overweight remains heavily concentrated in Financials, with the broader opportunity set outside the sector still relatively underdeveloped, leaving Eastern Europe as a conviction trade in a narrow range of companies rather than a broad regional call


  • India: After the Euphoria

    India has undergone one of the most dramatic repositionings in our emerging markets dataset. In this month’s piece we document the drivers behind the rotation, from country and sector down to fund and stock level moves.

    Key Findings

    • Average India weights have fallen from 17.47% in August 2024 to 9.94% today, the largest 12-month country weight decline in our universe
    • The rotation has been active and deliberate — 5.1% of funds switched from overweight to underweight in just 12 months, led by Morgan Stanley, Liontrust and Neuberger Berman
    • But the headline numbers only tell half the story. Financials ownership sits at a record high, Bharti Airtel and Mahindra & Mahindra are at all-time ownership peaks, and a new cohort of rising stars is quietly building a following


  • Active Asia Ex-Japan Funds: Performance & Attribution Q1 2026

    Asian Equity

    Active Asia Ex-Japan Funds: Performance & Attribution Q1 2026

    April 30th 2026

    • Active Asia ex-Japan funds fell -0.75% in Q1, but the iShares MSCI All Country Asia ex Japan ETF rose +2.05% due to systematic fair value pricing, versus -1.2% for the underlying index.
    • Narrow leadership, broader weakness: Gains were concentrated in Korea/Taiwan Technology and a handful of stocks, while China and India exposures dragged on overall returns.
    • Positioning mattered, but gaps remain: Overweights in Korean Tech helped, but underweights in TSMC and China/India positioning drove underperformance, leaving managers still playing catch-up after 2022–2025.

    Flat on the Quarter
    Active Asia ex-Japan funds returned -0.75% over the quarter, with a wide dispersion: top performers delivered double-digit gains while laggards posted double-digit losses. The most common outcome sat in the -2% to 0% range.

    The iShares MSCI All Country Asia ex Japan ETF returned +2.05%, a figure flattered by its use of “systematic fair value” pricing. Unlike most funds, which rely on local market closing prices, the ETF adjusts valuations post-close to reflect US market moves. On a like-for-like basis, the underlying benchmark index declined -1.2% over the quarter.

    Regional Split
    The charts below break down Q1 return drivers by country and sector, based on aggregate manager holdings. At the sector level, Technology was the standout contributor, adding 4.1% to returns, but this was more than offset by weakness across Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Staples and Financials.

    At the country level, Taiwan and South Korea were the only clear contributors, with gains outweighed by declines in China and India. Within South Korea, performance was driven not just by Technology, but also by contributions from Industrials, Financials and Consumer Discretionary.

    Stock-Level Influence
    At the stock level, gains were highly concentrated in four key names. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix and Delta Electronics were the primary contributors, adding over 4% to total Q1 returns.

    However, these gains were overwhelmed by weakness in core China and India positions. Tencent, Alibaba Group and HDFC Bank detracted a combined 2.5% on average, with further losses from positions in Trip.com Group, MakeMyTrip and Sea Limited.

    Performance Attribution – Where Funds made and lost versus the Benchmark
    The chart below breaks down the key drivers of relative performance at the country/sector level. Outperformance was led by overweights to South Korea Technology, cash holdings, and strong stock selection in Taiwan Industrials and China Technology.

    On the flip side, underperformance was driven by overweights in China and India Communication Services, alongside weak stock selection in China Consumer Discretionary.

    Stock Attribution
    Active EM managers benefited from net overweights in Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix and Delta Electronics, while underweights in Xiaomi and Infosys also supported relative performance.

    On the negative side, the UCITS-driven underweight in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company was a key drag, alongside overweights in MakeMyTrip, Tencent and Trip.com Group.

    Long-Term Performance
    With the inflated returns of the iShares MSCI All Country Asia ex Japan ETF — driven by its use of systematic fair value pricing — active returns appear weaker than they should, creating what is effectively a short-term distortion rather than a true performance gap.

    That said, managers still need to close the gap, with underperformance over 2022–2025 leaving little room for complacency.

    Performance & Attribution Report

    Click the link opposite for full charts and data detailing the drivers of Q1 2026 performance, along with a review of 3-, 5-, and 10-year results across the active Asia Ex-Japan peer group.


  • China Industrials: Bullish Positioning Strengthens Further

    Global Emerging Markets

    China Industrials: More Funds Switch to Overweight

    April 28th 2026

    • Active GEM funds have pushed China & HK Industrials to record highs across all ownership metrics, with near-universal participation and strong conviction positioning.
    • The sector stands out as the only clear overweight within China, in stark contrast to deeply out-of-favour areas like Real Estate.
    • A number of key names — including CATL, Sungrow, and Sieyuan Electric — are driving this move, reaching new highs in ownership.
    • Beneath this, the opportunity set is broadening, with a new wave of stocks gaining traction and forming an emerging second tier of ownership.

    New Levels of Bullishness
    Active GEM funds have pushed China & HK Industrials exposure to fresh highs. All core ownership metrics are now at record highs: average weights have risen to 3.28%, 91.5% of funds hold expsure, net overweights sit at +1.9%, and 79.6% of managers are overweight versus the benchmark.

    Ownership Cycles
    China & HK Industrials sit firmly in the top-right of our country/sector Ownership Cycle grid, reflecting sustained rotation and now record positioning. In contrast, China & HK Real Estate occupies the mirror image in the bottom-right, with managers taking an increasingly dim view of the sector.  It highlights how China is far from a homogenous position for managers – with Industrials the only conviction overweight among CHina’s other major sectors (see data pack).

    Stock Allocations
    At the stock level, Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) dominates positioning — held by 55.8% of active EM managers at an average weight of 0.9%, accounting for 28% of total sector exposure. Ownership falls away sharply beyond CATL, though a second tier of nine names sits in the 10–20% ownership range, led by Shenzhen Inovance Technology and CMOC Group.

    The Drivers behind the record highs.
    The charts below highlight the key stocks shaping the evolving China Industrials landscape. Chart 120 shows the names driving the latest leg higher, with CATL surging to new highs in ownership, Sungrow Power Supply rebounding, and CMOC Group trending steadily upwards.

    Chart 121 makes clear this isn’t a one-way move — Full Truck Alliance, S.F. Holding, and Gree Electric have all rolled over from previous peaks.

    Chart 122 identifies the next wave of potential leaders: stocks gaining traction but still relatively under-owned, including names like Greens Holdings, Sieyuan Electric, and Shenzhen Inovance.

    Finally, Chart 123 highlights the sector’s “fallen angels” — companies now well below prior ownership highs after sustained declines in fund participation.

    China & HK Industrials Market Intelligence Report
    Click the link opposite for the full data pack, including full fund-level data, style analysis, stock over/underweights and more.

    Remember you can generate a Market Intelligence report on any region, country, sector, country sector or industry using our report builder tool.


  • Active Global Funds: Performance & Attribution Q1 2026

    Global Equity

    Active Global Funds: Performance & Attribution Q1 2026

    April 22nd 2026

    • Tough quarter, familiar outcome: Global active funds fell -4.79% and trailed the MSCI ACWI Index by 1.7%, with nearly two-thirds of managers underperforming as style dispersion widened (Value +7.3% vs Aggressive Growth).
    • US Tech drag, Energy miss: Losses were driven by US Technology (-2.2% impact), while Taiwan/Korea gains weren’t enough to offset broader US and European weakness. Relative underperformance came from missing Energy upside and poor stock selection in key US sectors.
      Crowded pain, positioning gap persists: Weakness in core holdings (Magnificent Seven) outweighed gains from TSMC/ASML and Energy.
    • Longer term, active funds remain deeply behind (-47.7% over 10 years), with positioning still out of sync with market leadership.

    A Difficult Quarter
    Active Global funds had a tough quarter on multiple fronts. Average returns fell -4.79%, with all styles bar Yield in negative territory. Performance was largely driven by style, with Value outperforming Aggressive Growth by 7.3%. Thornburg Income Builder (+9.8%) and Wasatch Global Value (+8.1%) stood out as the top performers.

    The MSCI ACWI Index remains a high bar, outperforming the average active fund by 1.7% and beating nearly two-thirds of managers in our universe.

    US Leads Returns Lower
    The charts below break down Q1 return drivers by country and sector, based on aggregate manager holdings.  At the sector level, Technology was the dominant drag, detracting 2.14% from returns. This was compounded by further weakness in Consumer Discretionary, Financials, and Health Care. Energy provided the only meaningful offset, contributing +0.68%, with smaller positives from Industrials, Utilities, and Materials.

    At the country level, Taiwan and South Korea were the only clear contributors, but these gains were more than offset by declines in the US and, to a lesser extent, across major European markets. Within the US, modest gains from Energy and Industrials (+0.62% combined) were overwhelmed by losses in Technology, which alone cost the average Global fund -2.2% over the quarter.

     

    Stock-Level Influence
    At the stock level, gains were concentrated in a handful of names. TSMC, Samsung Electronics, and ASML were the primary contributors, alongside solid support from global energy majors.

    However, these gains were overwhelmed by weakness in core positions. Microsoft (2.9% weight) fell 23.3%, while NVIDIA (3.0% weight) declined 6.5%. More broadly, all of the “Magnificent Seven” detracted, driving the quarter’s negative net return.

    Performance Attribution – Where Funds Lost out to the Benchmark
    The chart below breaks down the key drivers of relative performance at the country/sector level. Outperformance was led by overweights to Taiwan Technology and Cash, alongside underweights in US Technology and strong stock selection within US Financials.

    On the flip side, underperformance was driven by underweights in US Energy and weak stock selection across US Health Care, Industrials, and Technology.

    Stock Attribution
    Active EM managers benefited from net overweights in TSMC and ASML, alongside cash positions, while underweights in Tesla, Apple, and NVIDIA also supported relative performance.

    On the negative side, underownership of Exxon Mobil and Chevron was the largest drag, costing a combined 31bps in relative terms. Elsewhere, managers were caught offside with overweights in HDFC Bank, Intuit, and LVMH.

    Long-Term Performance
    This quarter’s weakness adds to a prolonged period of underperformance for Global active funds versus the MSCI ACWI Index. A sixth consecutive year of lagging returns would further weigh on the asset class, with 10-year relative performance now sitting at -47.7% on average.

    What stands out this quarter is the shift in drivers. Underperformance did not come from the usual source—underweights to the US and US Technology—but instead from missed gains in Energy, which more than offset any benefit from reduced US exposure.

    Active positioning remains out of sync with the market’s winners. The question is whether that gap begins to close—or persists.

    Performance & Attribution Report

    Click the link opposite for full charts and data detailing the drivers of Q1 2026 performance, along with a review of 3-, 5-, and 10-year results across the active Global peer group.


  • Active GEM Funds: Performance & Attribution Q1 2026

    Global Emerging Markets

    Active GEM Funds: Performance & Attribution Q1 2026

    April 16th 2026

    • March reversal erased early gains: Active GEM funds gave back all 2026 gains in March, leaving returns near flat (+1.34%) and trailing the benchmark, with just 34.5% of funds outperforming.

    • “Big Four” divergence drove outcomes: Performance was defined by a sharp split—South Korea and Taiwan contributed strongly while China & HK and India detracted, with country allocation (especially among Aggressive Growth funds) a key driver.

    • Stock selection and constraints shaped relative returns: Gains came largely from underweights in China/India names and selective North Asia exposure, while underweight TSMC—driven in part by UCITS limits—was the primary drag, highlighting structural challenges for active managers.

    Back to Square One
    Active GEM funds saw all of their 2026 gains reversed in March. After being up 14.6% at the end of February, a sharp 11.6% decline in March has brought funds back close to flat for the year. Average returns now stand at 1.34%, trailing the iShares MSCI EM ETF by 1.45%, with 34.5% of funds outperforming the benchmark at the end of Q1.

    By style, Yield strategies lead the pack, delivering average returns of 3.05%. In contrast, Value, Growth, and Aggressive Growth strategies have all underperformed the index on average. South Korea–heavy Nomura EM and ClearBridge Smash top the rankings, returning 14.2% and 11.2%, respectively.

    The Big Four Split
    The charts below break down the drivers of Q1 returns by country and sector, based on a portfolio constructed from managers’ aggregate holdings. At the sector level, Technology was by far the largest contributor, adding 3.4% to returns. This was partially offset by Communication Services and Consumer Discretionary, which detracted 1.35% and 1.27%, respectively.

    From a country perspective, the divergence across EM’s “Big Four” stands out as the defining trend. South Korea and Taiwan contributed a combined 4.5% to total returns, while India and China & HK detracted an equal 4.5%. Beyond this split, Brazil was the only other meaningful driver, with strength in energy and financials supporting outperformance.

    Big Four Split Defines Returns
    The charts below plot Q1 returns (y-axis) against the net portfolio weight difference between Taiwan and South Korea versus China & Hong Kong and India (x-axis). In other words, the measure reflects the combined weight in Taiwan and South Korea minus the combined weight in China, Hong Kong, and India. The left-hand chart shows all strategies, while the right focuses on Aggressive Growth funds.

    Two key observations stand out. First, most data points cluster close to zero on the x-axis, indicating that portfolios are generally balanced between these two regional groupings. Second, there is a clear positive relationship between positioning and returns—most pronounced among Aggressive Growth funds. Here, country allocation appears to have been a primary driver of performance during the quarter, significantly more so than for Value and GARP strategies.


    Stock Level Influence
    This country-level divergence is clearly reflected at the stock level. Key North Asia holdings—Samsung Electronics, TSMC, SK Hynix, and Delta Electronics—were the primary contributors to returns. In contrast, core China and India positions detracted, led by Tencent, HDFC Bank, and Alibaba Group.

    Performance Attribution – Where Funds Beat the Benchmark
    The chart below highlights the main sources of outperformance and underperformance versus the benchmark at the country level. The biggest contributors to outperformance were large underweights in India and China, together with overweights in Brazil and strong stock selection in Taiwan.

    On the negative side, returns were held back by underweights in Saudi Arabia and overweights in Argentina and Singapore.

    Stock Attribution
    Active EM managers benefited from net overweights in SK Hynix, but more meaningfully from underweight positions in Tencent, Xiaomi, and Alibaba Group, which supported relative performance.

    On the negative side, a significant underweight in TSMC was the primary drag, highlighting the constraints posed by UCITS mandates that limit single-position weights above 10%. In addition, overweights in MakeMyTrip, HDFC Bank, and MercadoLibre detracted from relative returns.

    Long-Term Performance
    This year’s underperformance versus the benchmark adds to the shortfalls seen in 2024 and 2025. While the longer-term picture still points to a history of active outperformance, EM managers need to reassert themselves as consistent majority outperformers.

    The iShares MSCI EM ETF currently sits in the 65th percentile of the active universe year-to-date, edging into more uncomfortable territory as it approaches the top third of funds.

    Performance & Attribution Report

    Click the link opposite for full charts and data detailing the drivers of Q1 2026 performance, along with a review of 3-, 5-, and 10-year results across the active EM peer group.


  • Protected: Global Stock Radar: Ownership, Concentration and Conviction in Global Equities

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  • UK Stock Radar: Positioning, Crowding & Conviction

    UK Equity

    March 31st 2026

    Executive Summary

    In this analysis, we examine how UK equity fund positioning is distributed across the ownership spectrum — from the most widely held consensus names to the long tail of low-participation stocks.

    We track both the number of companies held and how capital is allocated across different ownership buckets, highlighting how portfolios are structured and where conviction is being expressed. This includes analysing the evolution of the most crowded positions, the role of the middle ownership ranges, and the characteristics of the long tail.

    We also explore how stocks move through the distribution — identifying entry and exit points across key thresholds, and highlighting cases where position sizes signal stronger conviction despite limited ownership.

    How Many Companies Do Active UK Investors Own?
    The number of companies held by active UK funds peaked at just over 1,200 in 2021, before trending steadily lower to ~1,030 today. Breadth is clearly contracting, with portfolios becoming more selective over time.

    Beneath the surface, positioning remains tilted toward a small group of dominant sectors, with a clear gap between the largest allocations and the long tail of smaller exposures.  


    Ownership Breadth
    Ownership breadth across UK portfolios is highly skewed. The majority of stocks are held by only a small fraction of funds, with 737 companies owned by fewer than 5% of investors (~71% of the universe). From there, the opportunity set narrows rapidly, with relatively few names achieving broad ownership.

    This skew in stock count is less extreme when viewed through portfolio weights. While the long tail of stocks (held by a small minority of funds) dominates in number, it represents a more modest share of capital, reflecting smaller position sizes and more selective conviction.  At the top end, ownership becomes much more concentrated. A small group of widely held stocks accounts for a disproportionately large share of capital, with the most crowded names (held by a majority of funds) commanding meaningfully larger weights within portfolios.


    Concentration Rising: Shift Toward Consensus
    Between 2012 and 2021, capital had been moving away from the most widely held names, with the 50–100% bucket gradually losing share. That dynamic flipped in 2021 (post COVID?) — with weights in the most crowded cohort surging back toward ~40%, reclaiming clear dominance within portfolios.

    This has come at the expense of the long tail. The least-owned names (0–15%) have steadily faded in importance, with their share of capital continuing to drift lower, reinforcing the move away from more differentiated positions.

    The middle buckets tell a more muted story. While they participated in the earlier broadening of portfolios, they have not seen the same degree of re-acceleration, leaving the recent shift driven primarily by a renewed focus on the most widely owned stocks.

    Stocks held by more than 50% of funds

    Crowding at the Top: More Names, More Weight
    The number of stocks held by more than 50% of UK funds has pushed higher, now sitting close to the top end of the historical range at 19 names. What was once a more limited group of consensus positions has broadened into a larger cohort of widely owned stocks.

    At the same time, the capital allocated to these names has rebuilt steadily. After compressing into 2020, weights have climbed back, with the most crowded stocks now accounting for well over a third of portfolios — and continuing to edge higher.

    Ownership Trends within the 50% Club
    The current >50% cohort has been built relatively recently. While a handful of names have consistently sat in this group, much of today’s cohort has only crossed the threshold over the past few years, pointing to a broadening of consensus rather than a static leadership group.

    What stands out is the path into the top tier. Ownership tends to build gradually at first, but once names move through the ~30–40% range, participation often accelerates. From there, several stocks transition quickly into widely held positions, with ownership continuing to climb toward 60–70%+.

    The weight profile is more uneven. While inclusion in the >50% club brings higher capital allocation, the dispersion across names remains wide — with a smaller subset of stocks accounting for a disproportionate share of the cohort’s total weight.


    The 30% – 50% Cohort

    The 30–50% ownership bucket remains relatively contained, with the number of names typically ranging from the low-20s to low-30s. In total, only 84 companies have ever passed through this range since 2012, reinforcing how selective this part of the distribution is.

    In weight terms, this group built into the late 2010s, peaking in the low-20% range, before easing back. More recently, its share has stabilised, but without reclaiming prior highs, suggesting less conviction being expressed in this part of the distribution.

    30–50% Cohort: Snapshot & Turnover Dynamics
    Current positioning within the 30–50% ownership range comprises ~30 companies. The cohort spans a mix of UK large caps, with representation across financials, industrials, consumer names and defensives. Position sizes remain relatively contained, with most holdings clustered below ~1% of average fund weight, and only a small number moving modestly above that level.

    Turnover within the bucket is visible on both sides. A number of names have dropped below 30%, including WPP, Ashtead, Taylor Wimpey and Intertek. At the same time, new entrants have moved up through the threshold, led by Auto Trader and Rolls-Royce, with RS Group and Rotork also crossing into the cohort.


    Diverging Paths Within the Middle Cohort
    Ownership trajectories across the current constituents are varied.  Some names have moved within relatively stable ranges over time, with participation fluctuating but remaining broadly within the 30–50% band. This is visible in names such as Legal & General, Compass Group and Sage.

    Others show more sustained upward moves. Rentokil, Howden Joinery Group and SEGRO have all seen ownership build over time, pushing toward the upper end of the range.

    In contrast, several stocks are below prior highs. Prudential, Imperial Brands and British American Tobacco have all seen participation ease from earlier peaks.

    The 15% – 30% Cohort

    The 15–30% ownership bucket includes 85 companies, making it a meaningful layer within the distribution. The cohort spans a broad mix of UK names across sectors. Position sizes remain modest, with most holdings sitting well below 50bps of average fund weight.

    Turnover around the thresholds is active. A number of names have moved up into the bucket, including Telecom Plus, Rosebank Industries and Rathbones, alongside LondonMetric Property and Hill & Smith. At the same time, several stocks have dropped below 15%, including Just Group, QinetiQ and Future, as well as Bytes Technology and Close Brothers.


    The 0% – 15% Cohort

    The Long Tail
    The 0–15% ownership bucket contains 896 companies, forming by far the largest segment of the universe. It represents the long tail of positioning, with a wide dispersion of names held by only a small subset of funds.

    Sectorally, the cohort is broad but tilted toward Financials (167 names), Industrials (138) and Information Technology (132), with Consumer Discretionary also well represented (110).  At the top end of the range, a number of names sit just below the 15% threshold, including Unite Group, Pets at Home and Kingfisher.



    Early-Stage Conviction: Candidates for Broader Adoption
    Comparing fund ownership against position size highlights a subset of names held with relatively high conviction despite limited participation. While most stocks in this bucket carry small weights, a number stand out with above-average allocations.
    Names such as Antofagasta and Wise show higher average weights despite being held by a relatively small share of funds. Others including Pennon, Ferguson and Chesnara also sit above the broader cluster, indicating stronger conviction among existing holders.
    Further along the spectrum, several names combine higher ownership (within the bucket) with still meaningful position sizes. JTC, Ferguson and Fevertree Drinks sit closer to the upper end of the range, while also appearing among the largest individual fund positions.
    This is reinforced in the top holdings data, where stocks like Antofagasta, Close Brothers and Volution feature prominently — names that are not widely owned, but where participating funds are allocating capital in size.

    Conclusion

    UK portfolios are becoming more focused, with conviction increasingly expressed in a broader set of consensus names.

    The structure of ownership remains highly skewed, but the balance of capital has shifted upward — away from the long tail and toward the most widely held stocks. Entry into the top ownership cohort appears to follow a defined path, with participation accelerating once names reach critical mass, reinforcing crowding at the top.

    Further down, the middle of the distribution remains relatively small and selective, while the long tail continues to account for the majority of names but a limited share of capital. Together, this highlights a structure where portfolios are concentrated in a smaller group of widely held positions, with the remainder spread across a large number of lower-weight holdings.

  • Asia Stock Radar: Concentration Rising Beneath the Surface

    Asia Ex-Japan Equity

    March 31st 2026

    Executive Summary

    This report examines portfolio breadth and ownership patterns across the Asia Ex-Japan region, breaking down holdings by fund participation to understand where conviction is building, where it is fading, and how portfolios are evolving.

    We look across the full distribution—from the most widely held stocks to the long tail of lesser-owned names—highlighting how different parts of the market behave, how stocks move between ownership cohorts, and where positioning is becoming more concentrated.

    Together, these dynamics provide a clearer picture of how active managers are expressing views across Asia, and how the structure of portfolios is shifting beneath the surface.

    How Many Companies Do Active Asia Ex-Japan Investors Own?
    The number of companies held by active Asia ex-Japan funds peaked at just over 2,300 in 2021, before trending lower to ~1,920 today. Breadth is now clearly normalising after a period of expansion.

    Positioning remains concentrated in North Asia. China & HK dominates with 801 companies (~42% of the total), followed by India at 338 (~18%). Elsewhere, exposure is more fragmented, with South Korea (248), Taiwan (208), and ASEAN (190) each representing smaller shares.

    Overall, the story is one of moderating breadth alongside persistent concentration in the region’s largest markets.


    Ownership Breadth
    Ownership breadth across Asia ex-Japan portfolios is highly skewed. The vast majority of stocks are held by only a small fraction of funds, with 1,619 companies owned by fewer than 5% of investors (~84% of the universe). From there, the opportunity set narrows quickly, with only a small cohort of names achieving broad ownership.

    However, this skew in stock count is less pronounced in portfolio weights. Stocks held by fewer than 15% of funds account for over 95% of names, but still represent ~30% of the average portfolio. Managers are clearly differentiating through the long tail, but position sizes remain relatively modest.

    At the top end, ownership is far more concentrated. A very small group of stocks held by more than 50% of funds accounts for a disproportionately large share of capital, with the most crowded names (90–95% ownership) alone representing ~25% of average portfolio weight.

    The result is a familiar structure: broad dispersion in stock selection, but with portfolios anchored by a handful of high-conviction, widely owned positions.


    Concentration Rising: Shift Toward Consensus
    Asia ex-Japan portfolios have become more concentrated in high-conviction names over time. A decade ago, close to ~40% of the average fund sat in stocks owned by fewer than 15% of managers; today, that has declined to ~29%, marking a steady move away from the long tail.

    This has been offset by a clear rise in the most widely held names. Stocks owned by more than 50% of funds now account for ~42% of the average portfolio, up materially over time and highlighting the growing importance of consensus positioning.

    Meanwhile, the middle buckets (15–50%) have drifted lower and remain a smaller share of portfolios, reinforcing that the key shift has been a rotation out of less-owned names into the most crowded part of the market.

    Stocks held by more than 50% of funds

    Crowding at the Top: More Names, More Weight
    The number of stocks held by more than 50% of Asia ex-Japan funds has trended higher, rising to 13 today. This is toward the upper end of the historical range, with a broader set of names now consistently owned across managers.

    In parallel, the weight allocated to these stocks has risen steadily. From the mid-teens a decade ago, they now account for well over 40% of the average portfolio, with step-ups particularly visible from 2017 onwards and again more recently.

    Ownership Trends within the 50% Club
    The current >50% cohort is relatively new. Only 5 of today’s ~13 names were already in the club prior to 2017.  What stands out in the ownership chart is how many of these names begin to steepen once they move through roughly 30% fund ownership. From there, participation often builds quickly, with a number of stocks going on to reach 50%, 70% and, in some cases, well beyond that.

    This pattern is particularly evident among newer entrants, with CATL, Hong Kong Exchanges and Sea Limited all seeing sharp increases in Asia ex-Japan fund ownership.  Weights have also moved higher, though less uniformly, with TSMC, SK Hynix and Samsung driving much of the recent increase in aggregate cohort weight.


    The 30% – 50% Cohort

    The 30–50% ownership bucket has remained relatively contained over time. Since 2012, 121 companies have passed through this range, with the live count typically sitting in the high teens to mid-20s — a meaningful but still selective slice of the universe.  In weight terms, this cohort built steadily into the mid-2010s, reaching the high-teens at its peak. More recently, that share has moved lower, now sitting closer to the low double digits.

    Composition has also evolved. Earlier periods show a broader mix across sectors, while more recent years skew more toward large-cap technology and semiconductors.  The bucket itself behaves less like a destination and more like a pass-through — a range where names build ownership before either moving higher into the top cohort or falling back out.

    30–50% Cohort: Snapshot & Turnover Dynamics
    Current positioning within the 30–50% ownership range comprises 20 companies. The cohort is skewed toward large regional financials, internet platforms and domestic cyclicals, with names such as DBS, Ping An, Delta Electronics, Bharti Airtel and NetEase sitting toward the upper end of the range.  Position sizes remain relatively contained, with most holdings clustered below ~1% of average fund weight, and only a handful moving modestly above that level.

    Turnover within the bucket is visible on both sides. A number of names have dropped below 30%, including BYD, JD.com and KE Holdings, alongside several Indonesian and China financials.  At the same time, new entrants have moved up through the threshold, including MakeMyTrip, Accton Technology, Zomato and ASE Technology, reflecting rising fund participation.


    Diverging Paths Within the Middle Cohort
    Ownership trends across the current constituents show a wide dispersion in trajectories.  Some of the more established names — such as DBS, Ping An and Hon Hai — have moved within relatively defined ranges over time, with participation rising and falling but not breaking out decisively.

    In contrast, several names have seen more persistent upward trends. NetEase, Delta Electronics and Bharti Airtel have all climbed higher, pushing toward the upper end of the 30–50% range.

    Elsewhere, a number of stocks remain below prior peaks. Meituan, Bank Mandiri and Bank Central Asia have all seen ownership fade in recent months.

    The 15% – 30% Cohort

    The 15–30% ownership bucket remains relatively small in Asia ex-Japan, with 52 companies in total.  Regionally, it is skewed toward China & Hong Kong (24 names), which also account for the largest share of weight (~5.5%). South Korea (9), ASEAN (8) and Taiwan (6) follow, with India (5) making up a smaller portion.

    At the stock level, the cohort includes a mix of financials and cyclicals, with names such as China Merchants Bank, BYD, Hyundai Electric, KB Financial and Zijin Mining featuring in the range. Position sizes are modest, with most holdings well below 1% of average fund weight.


    Intra-Cohort Rotation
    The 15–30% cohort is a curiously small but churny part of the market. Over the past year, 16 companies have entered the bucket, while 13 have exited, against a total of just 52 names.

    Entries have come from a mix of sectors, with names such as Zijin Mining, Bajaj Finance and Kuaishou moving up through the 15% threshold.  At the same time, a similar number of stocks have fallen out of the range, including United Overseas Bank, Axis Bank and Tata Consultancy Services, reflecting declines in both participation and positioning.


    The 0% – 15% Cohort

    The Long Tail
    This bucket is where breadth sits, but it’s far from evenly distributed.  At the country level, China & HK dominate in both count and weight, with India a clear second. The rest of the region — ASEAN, Taiwan and Korea — forms a secondary layer with smaller but still meaningful contributions.

    Sector-wise, there is a clear skew toward Industrials, Financials and Information Technology, which together account for the largest share of both companies and weight. Consumer Discretionary also stands out as a meaningful contributor, while other sectors fall away more quickly.


    Positioning Breakdown
    Drilling down within the 0–15% bucket, the distribution is heavily skewed toward the very bottom end. The bulk of names are held by less than 1% of funds, with a sharp drop-off as ownership increases beyond that.  These are typically small, tail positions — low weight, low participation, and often used for more tactical or idiosyncratic exposures rather than core holdings.

    Within this cohort, a mix of financials and domestic names features prominently. Some of the more widely held stocks (still within this low-ownership range) include Singapore Technologies Engineering, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp, Coupang, Bank of the Philippine Islands and Bangkok Dusit Medical Services.


    Early-Stage Conviction: Candidates for Broader Adoption
    Comparing fund ownership against position size highlights a small subset of names held with higher conviction despite still limited participation.  While most stocks in this bucket sit with low fund weights, a handful stand out with elevated allocations relative to their ownership levels. Names such as China Yuchai, China Railway Construction and Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipment show higher average weights despite being held by only a small share of funds.

    There are also examples further along the adoption curve. SK Square and Huazhu Group combine higher ownership (within the bucket) with still meaningful position sizes, suggesting more established conviction.  This is echoed in the largest individual fund positions, where names like SK Square, CK Hutchison, ASM International and CNOOC appear prominently — stocks that are not widely held, but where holders are willing to allocate capital in size.


    Conclusion

    Asia ex-Japan portfolios show a clear barbell structure: broad dispersion in stock selection, but an increasing concentration of capital in a small group of widely owned names.

    While the long tail remains large and active, it continues to lose relative importance as flows concentrate into consensus leaders. The middle of the market is increasingly transitional, with names moving through rather than anchoring portfolios.

    Overall, positioning reflects a shift toward higher conviction and shared exposures, even as managers retain flexibility through a diverse set of smaller positions.

  • Global Stock Radar: Ownership, Concentration and Conviction in Global Equities

    Global Equity

    March 30th 2026

    Executive Summary

    This analysis examines how active Global equity managers allocate capital across companies, focusing on ownership breadth, concentration, and conviction.  While portfolios have become more concentrated— with a small group of stocks accounting for an increasing share of capital—this masks a more important dynamic. Nearly half of total fund weight (~47%) remains invested in stocks held by fewer than 15% of managers.

    In other words, while top holdings are increasingly aligned, true differentiation sits deeper within portfolios. It is within this long tail—through stock selection and position sizing—that managers express conviction, take risk, and diverge from peers.

    Understanding Global equity portfolios therefore requires looking beyond the consensus core to where strategies are truly defined.

    How Many Companies Do Active Global Investors Own?
    The number of companies held by active Global funds peaked at more than 6,800 in 2017, before entering a steady and persistent decline. Over the past two years, this contraction has stabilised, with the total consolidating in a narrower 5,200–5,400 range. Today, active Global managers collectively hold 5,336 companies across the 353 funds in our analysis.

    Regionally, North America continues to dominate, accounting for 1,855 companies. This is followed by Developed Europe (1,090), Asia’s Big Four (954) and Developed Asia (864). Combined, these regions represent nearly 90% of all companies, with only limited representation from smaller Emerging Market countries and regions.


    Ownership Breadth
    Ownership breadth across Global portfolios is highly skewed. The vast majority of stocks are held by only a small fraction of funds, with 4,589 companies owned by fewer than 5% of investors. From there, the opportunity set narrows rapidly as ownership broadens, highlighting that only a limited subset of companies achieves widespread adoption.

    However, this skew in stock count does not fully translate into portfolio concentration. Companies held by fewer than 15% of managers account for 97.2% of all names, but still represent a meaningful 47.4% of the average fund’s weight. In other words, nearly half of aggregate Global fund exposure sits in stocks that are not widely owned—highlighting how managers continue to differentiate at the margin.

    This sits alongside a more concentrated top end. Just seven companies are owned by more than 50% of funds, yet they account for 14.9% of the average Global portfolio. These positions reflect high-conviction, widely shared exposures, creating a structure where portfolios are differentiated in the long tail, but anchored by a small group of consensus leaders.


    Concentration on the Rise
    Global portfolios have become more concentrated in high-conviction names over time. A decade ago, close to 60–65% of the average fund was allocated to companies owned by fewer than 15% of managers; today, that has fallen to 47.4%, reflecting a steady move away from the long tail.  This shift has been driven primarily by increased allocation to the most widely held names. Companies owned by more than 50% of managers now account for 14.9% of the average fund, marking a clear rise in consensus, high-conviction positioning.

    Meanwhile, the middle ownership buckets (15–50%) have remained relatively stable, reinforcing that the key change has been a rotation out of less-owned stocks and into the most crowded part of the market.  The result is a more concentrated portfolio structure: differentiation persists, but an increasing share of performance is tied to a small group of widely held leaders.

    Stocks held by more than 50% of funds

    The number of stocks held by more than 50% of Global funds has increased in recent years, rising to seven today. This stands out in a historical context—since 2012, only 11 companies have ever reached this level of ownership, with a majority of them represented in the current cohort.

    At the same time, the weight allocated to these names has also increased. What was once a relatively small share of portfolios now accounts for nearly 15% of the average Global fund.

    Ownership Trends within the 50% Club
    The composition of the most widely held stocks has evolved over time, with a clear shift toward a small group of large-cap technology and platform companies. Microsoft Corporation remains the most widely held name, with ownership rising to over 75% of Global funds. Alongside this, NVIDIA, Amazon.com, Meta Platforms, and Alphabet Inc. have all seen strong increases in fund participation, particularly in recent years.

    More recently, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company and Broadcom Inc. have also moved into this cohort, with ownership levels rising and now exceeding 50% of funds.

    This increase in ownership has been matched by higher portfolio weights. Alphabet Inc. is now the largest position at just over 3%, followed by NVIDIA Corporation, while Microsoft Corporation has moved lower from previous peaks. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company is now approaching similar weight levels, while Meta Platform and Amazon.com have seen exposure levels decline.


    The 30% – 50% Cohort

    The 30%–50% ownership bucket has remained relatively contained over time. Since 2012, only 62 companies have ever fallen into this range, with the number typically sitting between 16 and 24 at any one point. That makes this a meaningful but still selective part of the Global opportunity set.

    In weight terms, this cohort has grown since the middle of the last decade, with average fund exposure rising from high single digits to the mid-teens at its peak. More recently, that total has eased back, though it remains a sizeable part of the average Global portfolio.

    The composition of the bucket has also shifted over time. Earlier periods show a broader mix of defensive, consumer, healthcare and industrial names, while more recent years have seen greater representation from large-cap technology and semiconductor stocks. This suggests that the 30%–50% range often acts as a staging ground: a place where important holdings build broad acceptance across portfolios, but do not always remain there permanently.

    30–50% Cohort: Snapshot & Turnover Dynamics
    Current positioning within the 30%–50% ownership range comprises 17 companies and remains relatively balanced across sectors and regions. The cohort includes a mix of large-cap technology names such as Apple and ASML Holding, alongside financials like JPMorgan and Mastercard , and a range of healthcare, industrial and consumer companies. Individual position sizes remain moderate, generally clustering around 0.3% to 1.5% of average fund weight.

    A number of stocks have moved below the 30% threshold over the past year, including Novo Nordisk A/S, UnitedHealth Group Incorporated and LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton, with declines driven by both reduced fund participation and lower average weights.

    At the same time, new entrants continue to emerge into the cohort. Tencent Holdings Ltd. and AIA Group Limited have seen increases in ownership, while AbbVie Inc. and Johnson & Johnson have moved back into the range. This ongoing entry and exit highlights the role of the 30%–50% bucket as a fluid part of portfolios, where positions can build or fade depending on changes in conviction and relative positioning.


    Diverging Paths Within the Middle Cohort
    Ownership trends across the current constituents show a range of different patterns. Apple, JPMorgan Chase and AIA Group have all seen periods of rising and falling participation, with ownership moving within established ranges rather than following a sustained upward trend.

    Elsewhere, a number of stocks are now at or near peak ownership levels following persistent increases in fund participation. Eli Lilly, Netflix and MercadoLibre have all moved higher over time, reaching the upper end of their historical ownership ranges.  Meanwhile, stocks such as Thermo Fisher and Johnson & Johnson remain well owned, but are still below previous peaks in ownership.

    The 15% – 30% Cohort

    Broad but Lower Conviction
    The 15%–30% ownership bucket represents a much broader part of the Global equity universe. In total, 126 companies currently fall into this range.  Regionally, this group remains heavily skewed toward developed markets. North America accounts for the largest share, with 77 companies representing over 14% of average fund weight. Developed Europe also features prominently, while exposure to Asia and Emerging Markets is more limited, both in terms of number of companies and portfolio weight.

    At the stock level, the cohort includes a mix of well-established large-cap names that are widely held but not core positions across portfolios. This includes companies such as Cisco Systems and Qualcomm Incorporated within technology, alongside consumer and healthcare names such as Procter & Gamble and Novartis AG.

    The bucket also includes a number of globally diversified industrial and luxury names, including Siemens AG and LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton, reflecting its role as a broad, cross-sector segment of portfolios.


    Intra-Cohort Rotation
    Turnover around the 15% ownership threshold remains active, with a steady flow of names both entering and exiting the 15%–30% bucket. On the exit side, several stocks have moved below the threshold, including Fiserv, Inc., London Stock Exchange Group and Wolters Kluwer N.V.

    At the same time, a number of companies have crossed above the 15% level. Siemens Energy AG, Micron Technology and Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. have all seen ownership levels increase to above the lower threashold.


    Screening for High Conviction Names in the 15% – 30% Cohort
    Comparing fund ownership against average position size highlights which stocks are held with greater conviction by their owners. While most names cluster around ~0.6%–1.0% weights, a subset stands out with higher allocations relative to their ownership levels.

    For example, compare Oracle Corporation versus Applied Materials, Inc.: both are held by just over 20% of funds, yet the average position size for Oracle is ~1.5% compared to ~0.6% for Applied Materials, highlighting a clear difference in conviction.  L’Oréal S.A. and Lam Research Corporation are two further examples of higher-conviction names, and both feature among the larger individual fund positions shown in the right-hand chart.


    The 0% – 15% Cohort

    The Long Tail
    The <15% ownership bucket represents the vast majority of the Global equity universe, with thousands of companies held by only a small fraction of funds. In aggregate, this still accounts for a substantial ~47% of total Global fund weight.

    However, this exposure is spread thinly across a wide range of names, with individual position sizes remaining small. The bucket includes a diverse mix of companies such as Philip Morris International Inc., McDonald’s Corporation and BlackRock, Inc.—well-known businesses, but held with lower conviction and less consistency across portfolios.


    Rotation within the group
    Turnover within the <15% ownership bucket remains active, with a steady flow of names moving both higher and lower in fund participation. On the upside, stocks such as Banco Santander, S.A., Ryanair Holdings plc and Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited have seen recent increases in ownership.

    At the same time, other names have moved lower, including adidas AG, BYD Company Limited and Sika AG, where fund participation has declined after earlier periods of stronger ownership.


    Early-Stage Conviction: Candidates for Broader Adoption
    Comparing fund ownership against average position size highlights a small group of stocks held with higher conviction despite low overall participation. While most names in this bucket have relatively small weights, a subset stands out with meaningfully larger allocations by their holders.

    Examples include SK hynix Inc., ASSA ABLOY AB and Safran S.A., which combine lower ownership with above-average position sizes.  This is reinforced by the largest individual fund positions, where names such as Medpace Holdings, Inc. and KeySight Technologies, Inc. feature prominently, highlighting stocks that, while not widely held, are owned in size by a smaller group of managers.


    Conclusion

    Global equity portfolios are increasingly shaped by a shared set of high-conviction positions at the top, with a small group of widely held companies accounting for a growing share of capital. This creates a more aligned core across managers, where differences in positioning are relatively limited.  However, this is only part of the picture.

    Nearly half of total portfolio weight remains distributed across a vast number of less widely owned stocks. It is within this long tail that managers express their highest levels of differentiation—through stock selection, position sizing, and willingness to deviate from consensus.  The middle ownership cohorts act as a transition zone, where stocks move between broader acceptance and more differentiated positioning. But the defining characteristics of a portfolio are rarely found in the most widely held names.

    For fund managers and allocators alike, the key takeaway is that analysing top holdings is no longer sufficient. As portfolios become more aligned at the core, understanding the structure, composition and conviction within the long tail is essential to identifying true differentiation, assessing risk, and distinguishing between strategies.

    In an environment where consensus is strengthening, it is the tail—not the core—that increasingly defines the fund.