Author: Steve Holden

  • Emerging Markets Stock Radar: Positioning Concentrates as the Middle Hollowes Out

    Global Emerging Markets

    March 26th 2026

    Executive Summary

    Active GEM portfolios are becoming increasingly concentrated in a narrow set of high-conviction names, with limited breadth beyond the top tier. While the overall universe remains large (~3,900 stocks), ownership is highly skewed, with the majority of names held by only a small fraction of funds and at low weights.
    Capital has continued to migrate toward the most widely owned stocks, with the >70% ownership cohort reaching record weight levels, driven primarily by TSMC and Samsung. At the same time, the mid-ownership segment (30–70%)—historically the core of portfolios—has seen its relevance decline, with weights falling to cycle lows despite stable breadth.Importantly, positioning at the top end is becoming self-reinforcing. As ownership broadens, the cost of not holding these names increases, encouraging further inflows and reinforcing their dominance in portfolios.
    Further down the spectrum, the 15–30% and 0–15% cohorts remain broad but low conviction, though select names are emerging where strong position sizing suggests potential for future adoption.
    Overall, positioning is increasingly barbelled: concentrated at the top, fragmented at the bottom, and thinning in the middle.

    How Many Companies Do Active GEM Investors Own?
    The total number of companies held by active GEM funds was broadly stable at 2,500–3,000 through 2008–2013, before rising to ~4,000 following the introduction of a large quant-style strategy. Since then, it has remained within a relatively tight range. Today, 353 funds hold 3,889 companies.

    By region, China & Hong Kong accounts for the largest share (1,112 companies), followed by India (544) and ASEAN (428). Together, these three regions represent 53.6% of all holdings. Exposure to MENA has increased, while the number of companies held in ASEAN and EMEA ex-MENA has declined.


    Ownership Breadth
    Ownership breadth is highly skewed. The majority of stocks are held by only a small fraction of funds, with 3,187 names owned by fewer than 5% of investors each. Beyond this, the number of stocks declines rapidly as ownership broadens, indicating that only a limited subset of companies is widely held.

    Importantly, these low-ownership names also carry relatively small weights. Stocks held by fewer funds tend to be held at lower average positions, while higher-ownership buckets are associated with larger weights. This reinforces the concentration of capital in a narrow group of widely held names, with the long tail of stocks remaining both under-owned and low conviction.


    Concentration on the Rise
    Over time, capital has become increasingly concentrated in the most widely held names. Stocks owned by more than 70% of funds have seen a steady increase in their share of average portfolio weight. In contrast, stocks held by fewer than 15% of funds have continued to lose weight, reinforcing the lack of depth in the long tail. Weights in the mid-ownership buckets (30–70%) have also trended lower, suggesting a hollowing out of positioning between high-conviction crowded names and the under-owned universe.

    Stocks held by more than 70% of funds

    The number of stocks reaching such a broad ownership base remains very limited. Since 2008, only 10 companies have ever been held by more than 70% of funds at any one time, with the count never exceeding four in any month prior to 2025.

    Today, that number has increased to six, with TSMC, Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, Tencent, Alibaba and HDFC Bank also carrying record combined weights. This points to a growing reliance on a very small group of widely held stocks.

    Ownership Trends within the 70% Club
    All six names have steadily moved into the 70% club, signaling increasingly crowded and consensus positioning across funds.

    However, positioning strength is not evenly distributed. The rise in portfolio concentration has been driven primarily by TSMC and Samsung, where average weights have moved meaningfully higher—elevating both to almost ‘must own’ holdings.

    In contrast, the rest of the cohort has seen ownership catch up, but weights remain comparatively muted, indicating broader participation without the same level of conviction.


    The 30% – 70% Cohort

    Hollowing Out – Is the middle losing its relevence?
    The 30–70% ownership bucket is a far less exlusive club, with ~180 companies reaching the milestone at some point since 2008. But despite this breadth, its portfolio relevance has been steadily eroding.

    Historically, this cohort represented a meaningful share of fund allocations—the “core middle” of portfolios. Today, that is no longer the case. Average weights have compressed to all-time lows, even as the number of names remains stable.

    30–70% Cohort: Snapshot & Turnover Dynamics
    The left chart highlights the current 36 members of the 30–70% ownership cohort, led by MediaTek and Grupo Financiero Banorte as the most widely held names in the group.

    Over the period, turnover has remained active. Nine names have exited, including BYD, Bank Mandiri, and Walmart de Mexico, while six have entered, led by Goldfields, PICC Property & Casualty, and Hana Financial.


    Diverging Paths Within the Middle Cohort
    Ownership trends within the 30–70% bucket show some clear divergences. Record highs are evident in CATL, Delta Electronics and OTP Bank, while ownership has reversed in MercadoLibre, MediaTek and ICICI Bank.

    Recoveries in Credicorp, Itaú Unibanco and Naspers are also notable.

    The 15% – 30% Cohort

    Broad but Lower Conviction
    Containing 146 companies, this group has maintained a relatively stable share of EM portfolios over time. With a combined weight of 22.0%, the average position size is small (~0.15%), though leading names are meaningfully larger.

    While China & Hong Kong accounts for the largest number of stocks, LATAM commands the highest average allocation, led by names such as Petrobras and Banco Bradesco.


    Intra-Cohort Rotation
    Rebalancing in and out of the group since March 2025 has been relatively balanced. Names such as Fubon Financial, SK Telecom and Cathay Financial have exited, while Hyundai Electric & Energy Systems, ASPEED Technology and Asia Vital Components have entered.


    Screening for High Conviction Names in the 15% – 30% Cohort
    Screening within the 15–30% bucket highlights a subset of names where position sizes are high relative to ownership breadth. Stocks plotting above the trend line on the left chart below indicate higher conviction among existing holders, despite not yet being widely owned. Standouts include SK Square, Hyundai Motor, ASPEED Technology, Chroma ATE and Elite Material, all of which exhibit elevated average weights for their level of fund penetration. Names such as AngloGold Ashanti and Group Mexico S.A.B also screen positively on this basis.

    The chart on the right reinforces this dynamic, showing large individual fund positions in many of these stocks—particularly SK Square, Hyundai Motor and Chroma ATE—suggesting strong underlying conviction.

    Together, these names represent potential candidates for broader adoption, where high conviction among a smaller holder base could translate into increasing ownership over time.


    The 0% – 15% Cohort

    The Long Tail
    The 0–15% ownership cohort represents the long tail of EM portfolios, with over 1,000 names in China & Hong Kong alone and broad representation across all regions.  Despite this scale, position sizes are minimal, with low average weights across the board, reflecting limited conviction and fragmented ownership.

    The most widely held names in the group—such as Harmony Gold, Wipro and Hindustan Unilever—sit at the upper end of the range but remain small, non-core positions within portfolios.


    Rotation within the group
    Within the 0–15% cohort, a handful of names are seeing notable shifts in ownership at the margin. On the upside, Valterra Platinum, JD Health and LG Uplus stand out with recent increases in fund participation, alongside newer additions such as Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment and Jentech Precision gaining traction from a low base.

    On the downside, ABB India, Korean Air and Proya Cosmetics have seen sharp pullbacks in ownership, while China Feihe and Alinma Bank also show clear declines from recent peaks.


    Early-Stage Conviction: Candidates for Broader Adoption
    Applying the same screening framework to the 0–15% cohort highlights a subset of names with high conviction despite limited ownership breadth. Stocks in the upper portion of the chart—such as Sieyuan Electric, Airtel Africa, KEI Industries and Techtronic Industries—are held with elevated weights by existing investors, suggesting stronger underlying conviction.

    The chart on the right reinforces this, showing large individual fund positions in many of these names, including Kiwoom Securities, Hypera and Samsung Electro-Mechanics.  Together, these stocks represent early-stage ideas, where strong conviction among a smaller holder base could translate into broader adoption over time.


    Conclusion

    The evolution of GEM positioning points to a clear structural shift in how portfolios are constructed.

    Funds are allocating more capital to a small group of crowded, high-conviction names, while reducing exposure to the traditional “core middle” of portfolios. This hollowing out leaves a more top-heavy structure, increasing sensitivity to a narrow set of stocks.

    Importantly, within the >70% ownership cohort, positioning is increasingly reinforced by benchmark and career risk considerations. As these names become near-universal holdings, the cost of not owning them rises, encouraging further capital concentration and creating a self-reinforcing dynamic.

    At the same time, the lower-ownership cohorts highlight a pipeline of potential future leaders, where high conviction among a smaller set of investors may drive broader adoption over time.

  • South Korea: Record Highs, Record Concentration

    Asia Ex-Japan Fund analysis

    February 26th 2026

    Executive Summary

    Is South Korea back in favour? The data suggests a decisive shift. After a prolonged period of underweight positioning, Asia ex-Japan managers have moved South Korea to the largest country overweight in the region. It is now the second-largest allocation overall and sits at record levels of aggregate exposure.

    What is driving the move? The answer is clear: Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix. The two stocks account for 63.4% of total South Korea exposure — a record concentration — and are held at a combined +2.8% overweight versus the index. By contrast, the rest of the country remains underweight on average.

    So is this a country story or a stock story? The evidence points to the latter. South Korea’s return to overweight status is real, but it is narrowly led. This is a two-stock phenomenon rather than a broad-based reappraisal of the market.


    Click above for the full South Korea Market Intelligence report, featuring detailed fund-level breakdowns of country, sector and stock exposure, plus time-series trends and positioning gap analysis.

    Country Positioning
    The charts below show current ownership dynamics at the country level for Asia ex-Japan active equity funds.  Chart 1 shows the average country weight across managers. South Korea is now the second-largest allocation in the region at 19.37%, marginally ahead of Taiwan (19.32%) and India (12.60%), but still well behind China & HK (35.22%). Together, these four markets dominate active allocations in Asia ex-Japan.

    Relative to the benchmark, South Korea is starting to see clear support. It is currently the largest country overweight at +1.42% versus the index (Chart 4), with 64.1% of funds positioned overweight (Chart 5).  This contrasts sharply with Taiwan, where 86% of funds are underweight, at an average of -4.7% versus the benchmark.

    Asia Big Four – Long-Term Dynamics

    Regular readers will know this has not always been the case. The time-series charts below show South Korea’s rise through 2025.  Exhibit 1 shows South Korea overtaking both India and Taiwan to become the second-largest allocation in just 12 months. Over the same period, Asia ex-Japan funds moved from a net underweight to a clear overweight position (Exhibit 3), alongside a marked increase in the percentage of funds positioned overweight (Exhibit 2).

    This was a deliberate active reallocation in favour of South Korea.

    Fund-Level Positioning
    Chart 31 shows the distribution of fund weights in South Korea. The bulk of allocations sit between 16% and 22%, with a broadly normal distribution and a smaller tail extending to more bullish positions above 30%.

    Chart 32 shows that 60% of funds hold weights between the lower and upper quintiles of 16.1% and 22.4%. Importantly, overweight positions are clustered just above the 18% benchmark weight rather than skewed aggressively higher. Only a smaller cohort of funds sits at the top end of the range.

    Stock-Level Positioning
    Chart 100 breaks down South Korean ownership at the stock level. On an average weight basis, Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix dominate allocations. Combined, they account for 12.44% of average fund weight and 63.4% of total South Korea exposure (including Samsung ordinary and preferred shares).

    Beyond these two names — which are also the largest overweight positions — ownership falls away sharply. A distinct second tier has emerged, with 25–32% of funds holding positions in stocks such as Naver Corp, Kia Corp and KB Financial.  A further 15 companies are owned by more than 10% of funds

    South Korea’s Concentration Risks
    The charts below highlight the growing reliance on Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix within total South Korea exposure. Much of the recent increase in country weight has been driven by these two companies, while the “Rest of South Korea” (shown in green) has only recovered marginally from the lows in late 2024 (Exhibit 5).

    The top two stocks now account for 63.4% of total South Korea exposure — a record high, although comparable to the concentration seen in early 2024 (Exhibit 6).  Positioning versus the AC Asia ex-Japan index is even more revealing. Managers hold the top two stocks at an average +2.8% overweight, while the remainder of the country is, on average, -1.12% underweight (Exhibit 7).

    We should not interpret South Korea’s new overweight status as a broad-based shift in country conviction. This is a two-stock phenomenon.

    Stock to Watch
    We highlight 14 stocks that stand out in our analysis.  Chart 120 shows the long-term percentage of funds invested in stocks seeing the largest short-term increases in ownership. SK Hynix is at new highs, while Samsung Electronics is moving back towards prior peak ownership levels. Samsung Electro-Mechanics, meanwhile, has seen a notable uptick from a much lower base.

    Chart 121 highlights the largest declines in ownership. Naver Corp has clearly lost momentum in recent months. Hyundai Engineering & Construction and Kolmar Korea have also failed to gain traction among managers.

    South Korea’s “rising stars” are shown in Chart 122. These are stocks at record ownership levels but still held by only 5–20% of managers — meaning they are not yet fully established positions. Hanwha Aerospace and Samsung Biologics lead this group, both showing significant increases in fund ownership over the past 12 months.

    Finally, Chart 123 identifies South Korea’s “fallen angels” — stocks that were once core holdings but have seen sustained declines in ownership over the past decade. LG Chem and Hyundai Mobis stand out here, now largely absent from Asia ex-Japan active portfolios.

  • Protected: MENA’s Next Phase: Structural Adoption and the Rise of Regional Anchors

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  • MENA’s Next Phase: Structural Adoption and the Rise of Regional Anchors

    Global Emerging Markets

    February 25th 2026

    Executive Summary

    MENA’s role in active EM portfolios has entered a new phase. The region is no longer a niche allocation, yet it remains one of the largest structural underweights in the asset class — a gap driven less by active underweighting and more by incomplete adoption.

    Participation has risen sharply since the 2019 index inclusions, but the pace of capital allocation is now slowing. Ownership is at a record highs in historical terms, yet penetration remains incomplete, with nearly one-quarter of funds still holding no exposurem and with meaningful dispersion between a small group of high-conviction allocators and a long tail of low-weight positions.


    Beneath the aggregate numbers, capital is becoming increasingly concentrated. Ownership gains are being driven by a narrow set of countries and an even narrower group of stocks that are rapidly moving into the core EM universe, while large parts of the opportunity set remain early in their institutional adoption cycle. At the same time, the first signs of internal rotation are emerging as managers recycle capital between regional leaders and new entrants.

    This report examines:

    • why the MENA underweight persists despite record participation
    • where conviction is actually building at the fund and country level
    • which companies are becoming core EM holdings

      Keep scrolling for our extended commentary, or click on the PDF link above for the full Market Intelligence Report for the MENA region.

    Regional Positioning
    The MENA region is currently the fifth-largest sub-regional allocation among active EM managers, with an average weight of 2.84% (Chart 1), well below the EM index weight of 5.66%. This makes MENA the second-largest regional underweight after the EM “Big Four” — China, India, Taiwan and South Korea (Chart 4).

    Unlike the structural underweight to the Big Four, the MENA gap is largely driven by non-participation: 23.6% of funds in our analysis hold zero exposure (Chart 2). These zero allocations are a key reason why aggregate MENA positioning remains materially below benchmark.

    Time-Series Analysis
    The progression of MENA ownership among GEM funds is shown in the charts below. It reflects a steady rise in exposure, particularly following the major index inclusions in 2019.  Chart 8 shows the percentage of funds invested in MENA increasing from 47% in early 2021 to 76.4% today, alongside a corresponding rise in average fund weights (Chart 7).

    That said, momentum has clearly stalled. Chart 10 shows the decline in MENA’s index weight, driven by relative underperformance, which has slowed the pace of allocation growth. Despite this, active managers have continued to add exposure through the drawdown. The net result is a narrowing aggregate underweight (Chart 13), now at its smallest level since July 2019.

    Fund-Level Positioning
    The histogram of fund weights in the MENA region highlights how concentrated positioning remains at the low end of the spectrum (Chart 31). The most common allocation band is 0–1%, which includes funds with zero exposure and reinforces how recently the region has moved into mainstream portfolios.

    Even among invested managers, allocations are generally modest – 92% of funds hold less than 6% and the upper quartile of allocations sits at just 4.27%. In other words, even the more committed managers are typically running mid-single-digit exposure rather than benchmark-level weights.

    That said, there is a meaningful long tail to the upside. A smaller cohort of high-conviction allocators is positioned north of 10%, with some funds allocating more than 20%. This dispersion underlines that while MENA is broadly owned, it is not yet broadly embraced at scale — conviction remains concentrated in a limited group of managers.

    Country Positioning
    At the country level, MENA investment growth has been driven almost entirely by Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. Both markets have seen sustained increases in ownership since early 2020, with participation rising broadly in tandem over the subsequent years. While momentum has eased recently, the UAE overtook Saudi Arabia in outright ownership at the end of 2024 and remains ahead today, held by 63.8% of funds versus 57.9% for Saudi.

    Elsewhere, adoption has been far more limited. Qatar has seen a gradual decline in ownership since 2022, while Kuwait has largely flatlined as capital has concentrated in the larger, more liquid Saudi and UAE markets. Egypt is now held by a shrinking cohort of EM strategies.

    Stock Positioning
    As the market matures and investment levels increase, a clear hierarchy is emerging. A small group of regional leaders has established itself, while a broader second tier is beginning to gain traction.  The top four stocks by ownership now stand out as the regional anchors, led by Emaar Properties, which is owned by 38% of EM managers and ranks among the 30 most widely held stocks globally.

    Emaar Properties and Aldar Properties are also the two largest aggregate overweight positions. In contrast, the majority of the MENA universe is held below index weight. The most notable underweights include Saudi Aramco, Al Rajhi Bank and Kuwait Finance House.

    Stock Rotation
    Stock-level activity over the past six months shows managers actively recalibrating exposure as opportunities within the region evolve. On the positive side, a net 2.8% of funds initiated positions in Etihad Etisalat, while 2.25% opened new holdings in both Salik Company and Abu Dhabi National Oil Company.

    Conversely, Talabat Holding saw net closures from 3.4% of funds in our universe, with 3.1% closing positions in both Elinma Bank and Elm Company. From a flow perspective, the superior liquidity of Al Rajhi Bank and Saudi National Bank is evident in both net and gross fund flow metrics.

    Stock Ownership Evolution
    The charts below show the time series of the percentage of funds invested in each of the 18 most widely owned MENA companies. Charts 114–116 illustrate how aggressively ownership has risen in the leading names, all of which are now at record levels of fund participation.

    Beyond the top nine, positioning has been more selective. After earlier periods of accumulation, several stocks have seen consolidation. Saudi Aramco, for example, has experienced net closures, alongside Saudi British Bank and Saudi Telecom, as managers rotate capital elsewhere within the region and broader EM universe.

    Stocks to Watch
    Chart 120 highlights the three companies seeing the largest increases in ownership over the past six months. Salik Company and Abu Dhabi National Oil Company remain in the early stages of their ownership journey, while Etihad Etisalat continues to push to new highs, moving firmly into the top tier of regional holdings.

    Chart 121 illustrates how quickly capital can rotate when more compelling opportunities emerge. Talabat Holding, Alinma Bank and Elm Company have all seen ownership reverse following earlier periods of adoption.

    Chart 122 identifies companies at record ownership levels but still held by fewer than 20% of managers. Names such as Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank and Adnoc Gas remain early in their institutional adoption cycle, yet momentum is clearly building among active EM managers.

    Finally, Chart 123 highlights three Egyptian companies that were once more prominent in EM portfolios but where ownership has now drifted back toward historical lows.

  • Active Global Funds: Top-Down Positioning Update

    Global Equity Funds

    February 24th 2026

    Executive Summary

    Global active positioning remains structurally concentrated in North America and Developed Europe, but 2025 saw a clear rotation at the margin. Managers remain meaningfully underweight the US despite its 54% average allocation, reallocating capital selectively toward Asia’s largest markets — particularly Taiwan, China and South Korea — while India and Indonesia have lost conviction.

    Europe continues to command structural active backing, with 82% of funds overweight despite flat absolute allocations. At the sub-regional level, global portfolios remain a two-horse race: North America and DM Europe account for over 80% of total capital, while EM exposure remains concentrated in the “Big Four.”


    Sector positioning is stable but concentrated. Technology dominates at 27% of the average portfolio, followed by Financials and Industrials. Energy remains the clearest consensus underweight. Long-term trends show structural divergence in Technology and Industrials, with Industrials now at record exposure.

    At the stock level, conviction is increasingly concentrated in Technology, with eight of the eleven most widely held stocks in the Technology sector. TSMC is the defining positioning story: ownership has surged to a record 65.7% of funds at a +0.9% overweight, making it the second most widely held stock in global active portfolios.

    Regionally, flows reinforce this concentration. Broadcom, Siemens Energy and Tencent lead ownership gains, while legacy defensive and healthcare names — including Novo Nordisk and UnitedHealth — have seen sharp reductions. Across regions, capital is consolidating into a narrower set of perceived structural winners.

    Entering 2026, global active portfolios are characterised by persistent US underweights, renewed but selective engagement with Asia’s largest economies, record exposure to Industrials, and increasingly concentrated conviction in mega-cap technology leaders.

    Regional Positioning
    Long-term regional positioning among global active managers remains broadly intact. North America continues to dominate allocations in absolute terms; however managers persistently run a meaningful underweight relative to the SPDR ACWI ETF.  Asia remains the smallest regional allocation overall, although exposure has gradually increased over the past 24 months. That said, a similar proportion of funds remain underweight Asia as is the case with North America, suggesting managers are selectively adding exposure rather than expressing broad regional conviction.

    European allocations, meanwhile, have struggled to gain meaningful traction. Absolute allocations have flatlined, while overweight positioning has moderated from prior highs.  However, it is still clear that within actively managed global portfolios, Europe commands a structurally larger share of capital than it does in the benchmark. Notably, 82% of funds are positioned overweight relative to the index — reinforcing Europe’s continued importance as an active opportunity set.

    Sub-Region Snapshot
    Breaking this down further, global fund exposure remains a two-horse race, with North America and Developed Market Europe accounting for 82.1% of total allocations.  Within Emerging Markets, the “big four” — China, South Korea, Taiwan and India — dominate positioning, each with average weights of 8.1%.

    At the sub-regional level, active positioning shows a clear underweight to North America, offset by a similar overweight to DM Europe. Both DM and EM Asia are held underweight, offsetting net cash balances of 2.38%.  In terms of outright ownership, EM breadth remains limited: just 56% of funds hold LATAM exposure, 52% ASEAN and 25% MENA.

    Sub-Region Rotation
    Aggregate positioning shifted meaningfully over the past 12 months. Chart 27 highlights changes in average weights between 01/31/2025 and 01/31/2026, showing a clear rotation in exposure from North America toward EM’s Big Four. While price action has inevitably contributed, the active component of this move is evident.

    Across the EM Big Four, most ownership measures strengthened: 10% of funds moved to overweight, net fund inflows totalled $3.2bn, and 1.7% of funds initiated new positions.

    Country Positioning
    The US remains the dominant allocation, with an average weight of 54.4%. All funds are invested, representing $835bn of AUM across 1,670 companies. Despite active managers running a significant underweight of 7.76%, there remains a clear market-cap bias in allocations, with US equities accounting for more than half of assets in most global portfolios.

    The UK and France are the key areas of active backing. They rank as the second and third largest allocations and are the most widely overweighted countries globally.  The largest country overweights are concentrated in developed Europe, while Australia, India and Japan stand out as the primary underweights alongside the USA.

    Country Rotation
    Country-level rotation over the past 12 months was led by a pronounced increase in exposure to Taiwan, South Korea and China & HK. Each recorded similar gains in average weight, with a combined 2.37% increase, offset by a 3% reduction in US allocations.

    The shift toward EM’s three largest country exposures appears targeted in parts. 5.1% of funds initiated China exposure and 4.9% opened positions in Taiwan. South Korea’s increase appears more price-driven, with limited evidence of active repositioning. Taken together, the move represents a clear attempt to address low absolute allocations to Asia’s major economies. India, by contrast, fared less well, with declining exposure and moderate signs of active outward rotation.

    Elsewhere, 7.4% of funds initiated exposure to Spain and 6.6% to Sweden. Denmark saw full exits from 12% of funds, while Indonesia experienced a deterioration in ownership, consistent with trends observed across the broader Global EM fund universe.

    Asia Long-Term Dynamics
    The trajectory of Global fund ownership across Asia’s major economies is shown in the four charts below. The recovery is most pronounced in Taiwan, where average weights, funds invested, overweights and the percentage of funds overweight have all reached record highs — positioning has never been more bullish.  China is also showing encouraging signs of recovery. All ownership measures have moved higher, although they remain below historical peaks.

    South Korea lacks the same level of conviction. Absolute weights have risen, but without a comparable improvement in active positioning metrics. India has weakened materially. Just 14% of the 360 funds in our analysis are positioned ahead of the ACWI weight of 1.55%. Japan appears more stable. The declines seen between 2018 and 2022 have stabilised, with small but sustained increases in funds invested. However, there is little evidence yet of a decisive shift toward a more bullish stance.

    Sector Positioning
    Information Technology remains the dominant sector allocation, accounting for 26.86% of the average global fund. Financials and Industrials follow, each with just over 13%, completing the top three exposures.

    Benchmark-relative positioning is far narrower than at the country level. The largest overweights are in Health Care and Industrials, at just over 2% above benchmark, offset by underweights in Financials, Technology and Energy of between 1.5% and 2.3%.  Energy remains the clearest consensus underweight, with just over 80% of funds positioned below the ACWI index weight.

    Sector Rotation.
    Sector exposures among Global strategies shifted modestly over the past 12 months, with no moves large enough to materially alter overall positioning. Industrials recorded the largest net increase in average weight, alongside Technology, while reductions were concentrated in Consumer Discretionary and Health Care.

    Sensitive Sectors – Long-Term Trends
    We highlight the four ‘sensitive’ sectors to illustrate how Technology has clearly diverged from the group over the past decade. Industrials also stand out, with record average exposure of 13.1% and a move to fresh highs in the benchmark overweight.

    Stock Positioning
    Technology continues to dominate, accounting for 8 of the 11 most widely held stocks across global active portfolios. Microsoft remains by far the most widely owned, appearing in 77% of funds, with an average weight of 3% — broadly in line with the benchmark. TSMC is held by slightly more funds than NVIDIA, although NVIDIA carries the highest average weight globally at 3.05%.

    From a benchmark-relative perspective, Apple, NVIDIA and Tesla are the key underweights, funding overweights in names such as TSMC, ASML and Visa.

    Stock Rotation
    There have been several notable shifts in ownership among global companies over the past 12 months. Broadcom leads the gains, attracting investment from an additional 12% of funds. Siemens Energy and Tencent Holdings follow, each seeing ownership increase by 9.7%. There were also meaningful increases in fellow Chinese large caps, including Alibaba Group Holding and Contemporary Amperex Technology.

    On the negative side, Novo Nordisk and UnitedHealth Group saw the most significant declines, with ownership falling by 19.3% and 15.6% of funds respectively.

    TSMC – Setting New Records
    TSMC ownership across Global funds has surged to a record high, with 65.7% of managers now holding the stock at an average +0.9% overweight versus ACWI — an extraordinary build that has propelled it to the second most widely owned company in the global active universe.

    North America – Stock Trends
    Across North America we highlight 14 stocks driving the positioning narrative. Chart 107 shows the three largest ownership increases in 2025, with Broadcom, Netflix and Tapestry ending the month at all-time highs. Chart 108 captures the most significant reductions. Chart 109 flags emerging names pushing toward the top of their historical ownership ranges but still held by fewer than 20% of managers, with AppLovin and Amphenol standing out for particularly strong investment growth.

    At the same time, former core holdings of Global portfolios — Pfizer, Occidental Petroleum and Chevron — have fallen from historically high ownership levels to near record lows (Chart 110).

    Europe – Stock Trends
    In Europe, positioning is becoming more polarised. Siemens, Rheinmetall and BBVA have surged to record ownership levels, while LVMH, Sika and Wolters Kluwer have seen meaningful investor exits (Charts 118–119).

    Beneath the surface, five stocks are steadily building an investor base. Each remains owned by fewer than 10% of managers, but all have shown consistent ownership growth over the past 12 months, including AerCap Holdings, CaixaBank and Bank of Ireland (Chart 120).

    At the other end of the spectrum, Chart 121 highlights the three largest ownership declines since 2012. Nestlé and Roche have fallen sharply to new lows, while Vodafone has stabilised only after years of sustained erosion.

    Asia – Stock Trends
    Across Asia, the strongest ownership gains over the past 12 months have come from China & Hong Kong. Tencent, Alibaba and CATL have attracted sustained Global investor confidence, notable given the typically concentrated exposure managers run within EM markets. These gains have been offset by declines in Japan, where Brother Industries, Shin-Etsu and Keyence have all seen ownership fall over the year.

    Emerging interest is building in names such as Advantest, Chugai Pharmaceutical and Daifuku, while exposure to China Mobile, Canon and Fanuc continues to erode, with ownership in each trending toward negligible levels.

  • Active GEM Funds: Top-Down Positioning Update

    Global Emerging Markets

    January 30th 2026

    Executive Summary

    2025 was marked by a series of specific rotations within active EM portfolios, with notable positioning changes across regions, countries, sectors and stocks. At the regional level, exposure shifted away from parts of Asia toward the Americas and EMEA ex-MENA, while MENA saw rising participation despite remaining underweight. At the country level, rotation was most pronounced between South Korea and India, alongside a clear pullback from Indonesia. Sector rotation saw increased allocations to Technology and Materials, offset by reductions in the Consumer sectors, while defensive sector exposure fell to record lows. At the stock level, leadership continued to change, with selling in former consensus names and rising ownership in a smaller set of emerging or re-emerging positions.


    Entering 2026, active EM positioning reflects the cumulative outcome of that rotation. Asia remains the dominant allocation but is held at a net underweight versus the benchmark, the Americas remain the clearest consensus overweight, and EMEA positioning continues to normalise towards benchmark.  Country positioning shows structural underweights in Taiwan, China & HK and India, offset by overweights in Brazil and Mexico, while South Korea’s positioning reflects a meaningful shift over the past year and Indonesia’s a clear reduction in participation. Sector exposure is anchored in Technology and Financials, which together account for around half of total allocations, with Technology underweight increasingly driven by concentration effects in TSMC.

    At the stock level, TSMC remains the dominant EM holding, with record ownership and portfolio weight, yet sits at a sizeable aggregate underweight versus the benchmark as managers sell into strength. In EM ex-MENA, South Africa’s gold miners — Gold Fields and AngloGold Ashanti — have reached decade-high ownership levels, while OTP Bank continues to close the gap on Naspers as the region’s most widely held stock. In MENA, Emaar Properties has emerged as a core EM holding, now ranking among the 30 most widely owned stocks across the asset class. In ASEAN, positioning has weakened materially, driven by sustained selling in Indonesian banks — notably Bank Mandiri and Bank Rakyat Indonesia — offset only partially by recovering ownership in Sea Ltd and Grab Holdings.

    As investors enter 2026, active EM positioning is characterised by established country-level over- and underweights, record-low exposure to defensive sectors, and high ownership but net underweights in the largest benchmark stocks.

    Keep scrolling for the extended commentary, or click on the PDF link above for the Top Down Positioning Report, which includes the full breakdown of regional, country, sector and stock positioning among EM active funds.

    Regional Positioning
    Active GEM funds begin the year with a familiar and pronounced Asia bias, with average allocations of 73.7%, compared to 12.2% for the Americas and 11.5% for EMEA (chart 7). That headline exposure masks a clear effort by active managers to moderate Asia risk, with the peer group running a persistent underweight versus the MSCI EM Index, currently at -6.7% (chart 9). In contrast, positioning in the Americas remains firmly consensus, with 83.7% of funds overweight the region at an average active overweight of 5.1%. EMEA positioning has seen a recent shift, with the aggregate underweight continuing to narrow as a growing number of managers rotate from underweight to outright overweight (chart 10).

    Sub-Region Snapshot
    Breaking it down a level further, EM exposure remains highly concentrated in the “Big Four” — China & HK, Taiwan, South Korea and India — which together account for 68.3% of aggregate holdings. This is followed by LATAM at 11.1% and EMEA ex-MENA at 7.0% (chart 17). Despite its growing benchmark weight, MENA remains a non-core allocation for many active managers, with just 77% of funds holding exposure, resulting in a net active underweight of -2.85%.

    Active positioning at the sub-regional level shows a pronounced underweights to both the EM Big Four and MENA, funding overweights to LATAM, cash, ASEAN and selective developed market exposures (chart 20). The divergence between LATAM and MENA positioning versus the benchmark is particularly stark: 81.2% of funds are overweight LATAM, compared with just 9.8% overweight MENA (chart 21).

    Sub-Region Rotation
    Aggregate positioning shifted meaningfully over the course of 2025. Chart 27 highlights changes in average weights between 31/12/2024 and 31/12/2025, showing a reduction in ASEAN exposure of 1.5% and a more modest 0.36% decline in MENA. These moves funded increases in the EM Big Four and EMEA ex-MENA, both up 0.72%, alongside a 0.57% rise in LATAM allocations.

    Looking beyond weights to more active measures, MENA emerged as a clear beneficiary of fund rotation. The sub-region saw a 3.9% increase in the proportion of funds invested (chart 28), net inflows of $2.1bn (chart 29), and a sustained excess of buyers over sellers (chart 32). This stood in contrast to ASEAN, where all measures of ownership deteriorated over the year, pointing to a clear outward rotation.

    At the asset-class level, EM equities experienced an estimated $33bn of net outflows over the year, with the larger EM Big Four absorbing the greatest share of redemptions.

    Country Positioning
    EM active investors enter the year with a clearly defined structural setup. Positioning is characterised by sizeable underweights in Taiwan, China & HK and India, reinforced by persistent structural underweights across key MENA markets, notably Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Qatar (chart 37). These positions are offset by overweights in cash, Brazil, Argentina and Mexico, alongside selective non-benchmark exposure to the UK and US.

    South Korea, Greece and Indonesia now sit alongside Brazil and Mexico as majority-held overweight positions, while appetite for the smaller MENA markets remains extremely limited — almost no funds are willing to run overweights in both Kuwait and Qatar (chart 38). On an absolute basis, Taiwan has opened a clear positioning gap relative to South Korea and India (chart 34), while participation drops off sharply beyond the top eight countries. For example, only 66% of funds currently hold Poland and just 64% have exposure to the UAE.

    Country Rotation
    Country-level rotation in 2025 was dominated by a pronounced shift in average exposure between South Korea and India. Average weights to South Korea increased by 4.9% over the year, while India saw a 3.6% decline. While relative performance clearly played a role, there was also an active component: India experienced the largest country-level fund outflows (chart 62), while South Korea recorded the strongest shift from underweight to overweight positioning across the peer group (chart 64).

    Beyond this headline rotation, several smaller EM markets saw notable increases in active participation. Hungary, Greece and Poland all recorded strong rises in outright ownership (chart 61), while the UAE saw gains across multiple ownership metrics. By contrast, Indonesia experienced meaningful outward rotation, with 7.6% of funds exiting positions entirely and a further 17.1% shifting to underweight – driving average weights lower and softening the long-standing consensus overweight.

    Big Four Long-Term Dynamics
    China & HK, Taiwan, South Korea and India remain at the core of EM allocations, but relative positioning within the group continues to shift.

    • China’s dominance has continued to fade, with average weights declining from a peak of 37.5% in late 2020 to 24.7% today (chart 40). Despite this reduction, positioning is not uniformly bearish: China & HK is no longer a clear consensus underweight, with 38.5% of funds now positioned ahead of the benchmark (chart 43)
    • South Korea has moved decisively higher. Average weights have recovered from the lows and overtaken India (chart 40), positioning has shifted from underweight to roughly neutral versus the benchmark (chart 42), and the proportion of funds overweight has broken out to a new high of 59.3% — this is unchartered territory and reflects a new wave of bullishness among active investors.
    • Taiwan has emerged as the largest underweight within the quartet, displacing China, with just 18.8% of funds positioned ahead of the benchmark. As we will see, this skew is largely attributable to a single stock.
    • India now represents the smallest allocation among the Big Four. While sentiment has shifted meaningfully over the past two years, the current net underweight of -2.1% shows signs of stabilisation, even as positioning continues to imply expectations of relative underperformance into 2026.

    Sector Positioning
    Information Technology and Financials remain the two largest sector exposures, together accounting for close to 50% of total allocations. Consumer Discretionary, Communication Services and Industrials play supporting roles, contributing a further 29.7% (chart 67). All sectors, with the exception of Real Estate, Energy and Utilities, are held by more than 90% of funds.

    Relative to the iShares MSCI EM ETF, active funds are underweight both Materials and Energy (chart 70), with only 20% of funds overweight Materials and 16% overweight Energy (chart 71). Technology spent 2025 as a net underweight across active EM funds, while Industrials and the Consumer sectors are positioned at mild overweights. Cash holdings stand at 2.26% and may prove a headwind should EM deliver another year of strong returns.

    Sector Rotation in 2025.
    There were large shifts in sector exposures across four key sectors in 2025. Allocations to Technology increased by 3.1% and Materials by 1.5% (chart 85), offset by reductions in Consumer Discretionary (-2.3%) and Consumer Staples (-1.7%). Active ownership metrics across both consumer sectors saw significant decline over the year.

    Real Estate gained new exposure, with an additional 3.4% of active EM funds initiating positions, while Utilities saw a reduction of 3.9% of funds and Energy 2.8% (chart 86). A change in Financials sentiment was notable, with managers moving from a net underweight to overweight, driven by 13.8% of funds closing their underweight positions (chart 89).

    Defensive Sectors – Long-Term Trends
    Positioning in the three defensive sectors—Consumer Staples, Health Care and Utilities—remains clearly out of favour. Exposure to both Consumer Staples and Utilities sits at record lows of 4.58% and 1.26% respectively, while Health Care saw further declines in 2025 and continues to struggle to attract meaningful allocations across funds (chart 77).

    While this is consistent with a period of strong EM performance, it is notable that aggregate exposure to defensive sectors has never been lower.

    Stock Positioning
    TSMC’s dominance remains firmly intact, with an average portfolio weight of 9.4%, well ahead of the next tier of Tencent, Samsung Electronics and Alibaba Group Holding. Alongside SK Hynix and HDFC Bank, these six stocks are each owned by more than 70% of funds in the analysis. A further six companies are held by more than half of funds, led by MediaTek and Banorte.

    TSMC also heads the list of underweights relative to the benchmark, lagging index weights by an average of 2.45%. Tencent and Alibaba are likewise held as marginal underweights across the asset class. These positions are offset by overweights in stocks such as MercadoLibre, Contemporary Amperex Technology and AIA Group.

    Stock Rotation in 2025
    There were several significant shifts in stock-level ownership in 2025, led by sharp increases in fund participation in Xiaomi Corp, CATL and Accton Technology Corp. These three stocks sit at the head of a group of nine names that saw more than 10% of the 356 funds in the analysis initiate new positions during the year (chart 97).

    By contrast, Meituan experienced the largest reduction in ownership, with 18.5% of funds exiting positions. This was followed by sizeable position closures in Bank Mandiri, JD.com and Bank Rakyat (chart 98).

    TSMC – Selling in to Strength
    Two metrics stand out when plotting TSMC exposure across active EM funds. First is the rise to record highs in both ownership and portfolio weight (Exhibits 1 and 2), with a 9.41% average allocation held by 92.7% of managers, marking the peak for both measures. Second is the sharp widening of the net underweight, as managers increasingly sell into strength to remain within positioning limits, whether self-imposed or mandate-driven.

    Just over 20% of managers are positioned overweight TSMC, while the asset class as a whole remains underweight by an average of 2.45% relative to the MSCI EM index. Against this backdrop, returns broadly in line with the index would likely be the preferred outcome for many managers in 2026.

    EM Big Four – Stock Trends
    We highlight a group of 14 stocks that stand out across China, Taiwan, India and South Korea. Chart 107 shows the three stocks with the largest increases in ownership during 2025, with both CATL and Accton ending the year at all-time highs.  Chart 108 highlights the largest reductions. Chart 109 identifies emerging companies in the region that sit at the upper end of their historical ownership ranges but are still held by fewer than 20% of managers. Could stocks such as Asia Vital Components and Bharat Electronics compound growth in the year ahead?

    Finally, former mainstays of EM portfolios—CNOOC, HTC Corp and POSCO—have fallen from historically high ownership levels to near-zero representation (chart 110). Whether POSCO can re-emerge alongside a broader recovery in South Korean equities remains an open question.

    EM Ex-MENA – Stock Trends
    South Africa’s major gold miners, Gold Fields and AngloGold Ashanti, have surged to decade-high ownership levels, underscoring a powerful swing back toward precious metals within EM portfolios. Even so, both still trail OTP Bank, which is rapidly closing the gap on Naspers as the most widely held stock in the region (chart 118)

    At the other end of the spectrum, Żabka Group and Alpha Services stand out as lightly owned names exhibiting clear positive momentum, suggesting early-stage accumulation by active managers (chart 120). In contrast, Koç Holding and Aspen Pharmacare have fallen to new ownership lows (chart 119).

    Chart 121 highlights the three stocks with the largest declines in peer ownership since 2008. While Sasol and Garanti Bank continue to grind lower, MTN Group has staged a notable recovery in ownership—raising the question of whether it can continue to close the gap back toward prior peaks into 2026.

    LATAM – Stock Trends
    The largest positive ownership gains across LATAM in 2025 came from outside the traditional top tier of regional holdings. Reda DOR features prominently in both Charts 129 and 131, highlighting a combination of record-high ownership levels, strong positive momentum, and—critically—continued under-ownership across the broader EM universe. This profile positions it as a clear non-consensus winner within the region.

    In contrast, several established LATAM names struggled into 2026. WEG S.A. and Walmart de México, alongside Globant, saw pronounced declines in EM fund ownership (Chart 130). These companies underscore the shifting nature of capital allocation within LATAM, as leadership rotates away from long-standing consensus holdings. The capitulation has been most extreme in Grupo Televisa and Usinas de Minas Gerais, both of which have been almost entirely exited by active EM investors.

    ASEAN – Stock Trends
    Two dominant themes emerge from our ASEAN stock analysis. The first is the recovery in ownership of Sea Limited, which peaked at over 30% of EM funds in 2021 before collapsing to just 10% by 2023. Ownership has since rebounded sharply, signalling renewed investor willingness to re-engage with ASEAN consumer internet stocks.

    Importantly, this re-engagement is no longer confined to a single name. Grab Holdings is also emerging as a rising ownership story, highlighted in Chart 142, suggesting that improving sentiment is beginning to broaden across the region’s digital leaders rather than remaining a one-stock recovery.

    Offsetting this, the second theme is the aggressive unwind in Indonesian banks, which has driven much of the rotation out of Indonesia at the country level. Bank Mandiri and Bank Rakyat Indonesia have borne the brunt of the selling, marking a clear shift away from what had been core, consensus exposures.

    MENA – Stock Trends
    The charts below track the evolution of fund ownership across the 18 most widely held companies in the MENA region. At a glance, they convey a clear message on both momentum and engagement: all of the top nine names are now at record ownership levels. MENA is rapidly establishing itself as a source of core positions within EM portfolios, with Emaar Properties having recently entered the top 30 most widely held stocks across the global EM universe.

    While there have been periodic pauses along the way, these have been the exception rather than the rule. Saudi Aramco, for example, remains well below its prior ownership peak, and Qatar National Bank is consolidating after the sharp surge in ownership seen during 2021–2022. Even so, these instances stand out against an otherwise broad-based and sustained increase in investor engagement with the region.

  • Active UK Funds: Performance & Attribution 2025

    UK Active Equity

    Active UK Funds: Performance & Attribution 2025

    January 13th 2026

    Key Data Points

    • Active UK equity funds posted strong absolute returns in 2025, averaging 17.4 percent, but lagged the FTSE All Share index by over six percentage points, with only one in four funds outperforming the benchmark.
    • Performance was driven by Financials, particularly Banks and Brokers, while underweights to a handful of mega-cap stocks — notably Rolls-Royce and HSBC — significantly hurt relative returns.
    • Stock selection across most sectors detracted from performance, with Industrials, Information Technology, and Consumer Discretionary the most challenging areas for active managers.
    • 2025 marked the worst year on record for relative performance, with the average fund underperforming the benchmark ETF by 6.6 percentage points — bringing the 10-year underperformance gap to nearly 29 percent.
    • The FTSE All Share’s high and persistent concentration raises questions about its suitability as a benchmark, as passive exposure now mimics the concentration levels of high-conviction active portfolios, but without the intellectual framework or rationale behind those weights.

    Strong returns, but a benchmark hard to beat
    On the face of it, 2025 was a good year for active UK funds. Average returns came in at 17.4 percent, led by the Value cohort which averaged 25.2 percent, but weighed down by lacklustre returns from Growth (9.9 percent) and Aggressive Growth (4.6 percent). There were stellar performances from individual strategies, with Temple Bar Investment Trust, Artemis SmartGARP, and Shires Income leading a group of seven funds that posted returns in excess of 30 percent for the year.

    All this would paint a positive picture, were it not for the FTSE All Share index return of 23.7 percent — more than six percentage points ahead of the average active fund. Only 24.5 percent of funds managed to outperform the benchmark over the year.

    Breaking down the 2025 return: Financials drive performance
    The 17.4 percent average return for active UK funds in 2025 was underpinned by strong contributions from the Financials sector, particularly Banks and Brokers. Financials alone added 8.9 percentage points to the annual return, with smaller positive contributions from Health Care, Industrials, and Materials. In contrast, both Communication Services and Information Technology detracted from performance over the year.

    At the industry level, Banks and Brokers were supported by strong showings from Aerospace & Defence, Healthcare & Biotech, and Insurance. Meanwhile, the catch-all ‘Other Services’ category was the single largest detractor, taking 0.83 percentage points off the annual return.

    Stock-Level Influence: The Magnificent Seven?
    The chart below highlights the top stock-level contributors and detractors for UK active managers in 2025. On the positive side, a group of seven companies stood out, collectively contributing 8.3 percentage points to the average fund return. This group was led by large, widely held positions such as HSBC and AstraZeneca, alongside smaller holdings that delivered outsized gains, including Barclays, Lloyds Banking Group, and NatWest Group.

    On the negative side, Diageo, RELX, and the London Stock Exchange were the most significant detractors. Together, they reduced average active performance by 1.3 percentage points over the year.

    Performance Attribution – Where Did Active Managers Win and Lose?
    At the sector level, there were few areas of outperformance for active UK funds in 2025. Stock selection was a drag across most sectors, with the largest source of underperformance coming from Industrials. This was compounded by poorly performing overweight positions in Information Technology and Consumer Discretionary.

    There was some solace in the form of underweights to weaker areas of the market. Notably, active managers benefited from limited exposure to Energy, Consumer Staples, and the Multi-Sector product group — the latter primarily made up of Investment Trusts, which are typically underrepresented in actively managed portfolios.

    Stock Attribution: Underweights Cause Pain
    UK active managers are typically positioned with significant underweights in the largest constituents of the FTSE All Share index. For example, the top six index weights — AstraZeneca, HSBC, Shell, Unilever, Rolls-Royce, and British American Tobacco — make up 31.3 percent of the FTSE All Share, but account for just 16.7 percent of the average UK active fund. As a result, the performance of these names plays an outsized role in driving relative returns.

    Unfortunately for active investors, four of these six — Rolls-Royce, HSBC, British American Tobacco, and AstraZeneca — delivered returns well ahead of the benchmark. Underexposure to this group alone cost the average fund 2.9 percentage points in lost performance, with a further 32 basis points lost due to cash drag. While underweights in Diageo, Unilever, 3i Group, and Shell provided some relief, and smaller active overweights helped at the margin, they were not enough to offset the impact of missing out on the top performers.

    Long-Term Performance: Worst Year on Record for Active
    The charts below track the long-term performance of the average active portfolio of funds versus the SPDRs FTSE All Share ETF.  Whilst 2025 was the third best year in absolute terms, the -6.6% underperformance was the worst on record.  Indeed, over 10 years, the active fund portfolio has underperformed the FTAL ETF by 28.9%, with the ETF sitting just below the top 20th percentile when placed aside it’s active peers.

    The FTSE All Share Index:  Fit for Purpose as a Benchmark?
    As active UK equity funds continue to close at a pace unmatched in any of our other global fund universes, it’s tempting to question whether the model is broken. But before throwing in the towel on active, perhaps it’s time to ask a different question: is the benchmark itself still fit for purpose?

    While recent commentary has focused on rising concentration in the US market, the FTSE All Share has quietly remained the more concentrated of the two. As the left-hand chart shows, the top 10 names have consistently represented a larger share of the index than in the S&P 500 — currently standing at 41.2 percent.

    The second chart puts this into context. Despite comprising hundreds of stocks, the FTSE All Share sits in the middle of the pack when ranked by top-10 concentration across UK equity portfolios — and that includes active funds with far fewer holdings and deliberate stock selection frameworks. The SPDR FTSE UK All Share ETF — the passive proxy — has a top-10 exposure similar to many high-conviction, concentrated active funds, but without the intellectual framework or rationale behind those weights.

    It’s easy to frame the debate as “active vs passive,” especially in a year where the benchmark has delivered such strong returns. But that often misses the deeper issue: what exactly are passive investors buying into? And is it fair to judge active managers against a benchmark whose construction is now so heavily skewed toward a small number of mega-cap names?

    Performance & Attribution Report

    Click the link opposite for full charts and data detailing the drivers of 2025 performance, along with a review of 3-, 5-, and 10-year results across the active UK peer group.


  • Active Asia Ex-Japan Funds: Performance & Attribution 2025

    Asia Ex-Japan

    Active Asia Ex-Japan Funds: Performance & Attribution 2025

    January 12th 2026

    Key Data Points

    • Strong Absolute Returns: Asia ex-Japan funds returned 29.4% in 2025, with a few standouts exceeding 40%. Most funds, however, clustered tightly in the 24–36% range, with little dispersion across the Style groups.

    • Tech and North Asia Led the Way: Technology contributed 16 percentage points to total returns, while China & HK, Taiwan, and South Korea together accounted for 93% of overall performance.

    • Cash and Stock Picks Weighed on Relative Returns: Despite strong selection in Korea and Taiwan, underweights in TSMC, elevated cash holdings, and weak Indian and Indonesian names dragged on performance.

    • Active Still Holds Its Ground: Though 2025 was another year of average underperformance, passive benchmarks like AAXJ rarely match top-tier active results — reinforcing the long-term case for active management.

    High Returns and Some Big Winners
    2025 was a strong year for Asia ex-Japan funds, with average returns of 29.4% — marginally behind the iShares AAXJ ETF but impressive by any standard. Performance was buoyed by standout gains from a few select funds. Barings Asia Growth, LO Funds Asia High Conviction, and TT Asia ex-Japan all returned over 40%, showing what’s possible with strong stock and country selection. The top three spanned High, Medium, and Low Active risk, but with a common Growth bias.

    Style dispersion was narrow, with just a 5% point gap between Yield (top) and Aggressive Growth (bottom). The bigger driver was market cap: both Small/Mid and Large Cap funds lagged, while Blend funds led. While 65% of funds underperformed the benchmark, most clustered between 24% and 36%, pointing to a tightly packed middle and fine margins around the median.

    Breaking Down the 2025 Return: Tech and China Take the Lead
    The 29.4% average return for active Asia ex-Japan funds in 2025 was underpinned by concentrated exposures across both sectors and countries. Technology was the dominant driver, contributing 16 percentage points to the total — reflecting both strong performance and its heavy portfolio weight. Financials, Communication Services, and Consumer Discretionary added smaller, yet positive contributions.

    On the country side, China & HK, Taiwan, and South Korea accounted for 93% of total returns. India, despite its sizeable weight in regional indices, contributed just 0.1% — making it a key source of dispersion at the fund level. At a more granular level, India Tech and Indonesian Financials were the largest drags, though their overall impact was small.

    Stock-Level Influence: A broad Mix of Contributors
    2025 returns were led by a mix of dominant index names and smaller high-conviction positions. TSMC, Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, Tencent, and Alibaba were the top contributors, together driving 57% of total returns. But notable gains also came from further down the index, with names like Delta Electronics, Zijin Mining, and SK Square adding meaningful upside.

    On the downside, detractors were fewer and had a more muted impact. Meituan and Infosys were among the more widely held laggards, while investor favourite PT Bank Central Asia also weighed on active returns.

    Performance Attribution – Where Did Active Managers Win and Lose?
    At the country level, the biggest source of outperformance was stock selection in South Korea, aided by a shift from underweight to overweight during the year that removed any allocation drag. Strong selection in Taiwan also helped, partially offsetting the impact of a near-record underweight. In India, while the underweight added value, poor stock selection largely erased the gains.

    On the downside, cash holdings were a clear drag in such a strong year. Stock selection in China & HK also weighed on relative returns, while overweight exposures to Vietnam, Indonesia, the Philippines, and the US added further underperformance.

    Stock Attribution: Gains at the Top, but Losses Added Up
    Active Asia ex-Japan managers saw strong stock-level gains from overweights in SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Delta Electronics, and Chroma Ate.

    However, losses marginally outweighed the gains. Underweights in TSMC and elevated cash holdings together cost 1.74% in relative performance. Pain also came from overweights in weaker India names like MakeMyTrip, ICICI Bank, and Zomato, while positions in Indonesian banks added to the underperformance.

    Long-Term Performance: 3rd Best Year, but Another Underperformer
    2025’s 29.5% return was the third-highest since 2012, yet it marked the fourth year of average underperformance for Asia ex-Japan managers. Still, aside from 2023, the iShares AAXJ ETF has rarely ranked in the top third of the peer group and consistently trails the top performers. The case for active management remains intact.

    Performance & Attribution Report

    Click the link opposite for full charts and data detailing the drivers of 2025 performance, along with a review of 3-, 5-, and 10-year results across the active Asia Ex-Japan peer group.


  • Active Global Funds: Performance & Attribution 2025

    Global Equity

    Active Global Funds: Performance & Attribution 2025

    January 8th 2026

    Key Data Points

    • Strong Absolute Returns, Weak Relative Results: Global equity funds returned 18.8% in 2025, but only 27.1% outperformed the SPDR ACWI ETF, which gained 22.8%.
    • Value-Led Outperformance at the Top: Top performers were driven by Value strategies, with the cohort averaging 26.1% — well ahead of the peer group.
    • Tech and US Exposure Dominated: Technology contributed 5.6% to returns, with the US accounting for 8.4% overall — reinforcing their central role in portfolio performance.
    • Benchmark Beats on Stock Selection: US Tech stock selection was the biggest source of underperformance, despite the correct underweight call.
    • Underweights in US Consumer Discretionary and Energy, and overweights in Taiwan Tech, added modest outperformance.
    • Long-Term Struggles Continue: 2025 marked the fifth straight year of underperformance vs. the benchmark; the ETF’s 10-year lead now stands at 48.5%.

    A Solid Year, but the Benchmark Spoils the Party
    On the surface, 2025 delivered compelling returns for Global equity funds, with the average fund posting an 18.8% gain — a solid outcome in its own right. Standout performers like Artemis Global Income and Redwheel Global Intrinsic Value finished the year with returns exceeding 40%, fueled by a pronounced Value tailwind that lifted the entire Style group. In fact, the Value cohort outpaced the broader fund universe with an average return of 26.1%.

    Yet, perhaps the most striking figure comes from the benchmark: the SPDR ACWI ETF returned 22.8% in 2025, comfortably ahead of the average active manager. Only 27.1% of funds surpassed this benchmark return, underscoring an ongoing challenge for active strategies in the global equity space.

    Breaking Down the 2025 Return: Tech and the US Take the Lead
    The 18.8% average return for active Global equity funds in 2025 can be unpacked by examining the underlying exposures across sectors and countries, based on active managers’ aggregate holdings. Technology stood out as the dominant driver, contributing 5.6 percentage points to overall returns — a reflection of both strong performance in the sector and its outsized weighting in portfolios. Financials added a further 3.9%, while Industrials and Communication Services contributed 3.1% and 2.2%, respectively.

    At the country level, the USA — particularly through its exposure to Technology — accounted for 8.4% of the total return. EMEA delivered a more muted, but still material, contribution of just under 7%. On the downside, Danish Health Care shaved off 0.26% from performance — the only meaningful drag in an otherwise strong year for global allocations.

    Stock-Level Influence: A Broad Base of Winners, Few Detractors
    At the stock level, returns in 2025 were driven by a wide range of contributors, with gains led by key members of the “Mag 8” alongside strong performances from TSMC and Samsung Electronics. The breadth of positive contributions was notable, with the top 10 contributors accounting for just 27% of total fund returns for the year — underscoring the diversified nature of stock-level performance.

    Detractors, by contrast, were fewer and less impactful. The ratio of stocks with positive versus negative contributions stood at roughly 2:1. Among the laggards, Novo Nordisk led the losses with a 39.4% decline, followed by UnitedHealth Group at -33% — the most significant individual drags on performance.

    Performance Attribution – Where Did the Losses Come From?
    The chart below highlights the main sources of outperformance and underperformance versus the benchmark at the country/sector level. The largest single driver of fund losses versus the benchmark was poor stock selection in US Technology.  The underweight call was the correct one, but individual over and underweights were misplaced and the benchmark won out.  We mustn’t understate the influence on Cash holding on Global performance, which during strong markets are an obvious drag – last year costing the average manager 0.5%.  

    Pockets of outperformance were smaller in magnitude, with the US Consumer Discretionary underweight leading the winners, alongside Taiwan Tech Overweights and US Energy Underweights.

    Stock Attribution
    Active Global managers made marginal gains from their underweight in Apple, alongside overweights in TSMC and ASML, and smaller contributions from underperformers like Costco and Berkshire Hathaway.

    But losses outweighed gains. Underweights in NVIDIA and Alphabet — along with smaller underweights in high-return names like Palantir and Micron — hurt performance versus the benchmark. On top of that, overweights in Novo Nordisk, Keyence Corp, and London Stock Exchange further extended relative losses.

    Long-Term Performance: Benchmark dominance persists, but for how long?
    This year’s underperformance marks the fifth consecutive year active Global equity funds have lagged the MSCI ACWI ETF — and ranks as the third-largest relative loss since 2012. The ETF has now landed in the top third of the fund universe for three straight years, with its 10-year return sitting a substantial 48.5% ahead of the average active manager.

    For those who have managed to outperform, this backdrop offers compelling evidence to support fund marketing and asset gathering — highlighting just how rare benchmark-beating performance has become.

    For the rest, there’s perhaps some consolation in the fact that US Technology continues to dominate benchmark returns. If that trend were to reverse or fade, the relative landscape could shift. Still, the consistency of underperformance makes it clear: the challenge of beating the passive default has rarely been higher.

    Performance & Attribution Report

    Click the link opposite for full charts and data detailing the drivers of 2025 performance, along with a review of 3-, 5-, and 10-year results across the active Global peer group.


  • Active GEM Funds: Performance & Attribution 2025

    Global Emerging Markets

    Active GEM Funds: Performance & Attribution 2025

    January 7th 2026

    Executive Summary

    • Strong Year for Active EM: Active GEM funds returned 32.2% in 2025, their second-best in 15 years, with nearly half outperforming the benchmark.

    • Style & Regional Leaders: GARP and Value strategies led performance, boosted by South Korea-heavy positioning and tech exposure.

    • Tech and North Asia Dominated: Technology alone added 13.2%, while Taiwan, South Korea, and China/HK contributed 70% of total returns.

    • Concentrated Stock Impact: Just 10 stocks — including TSMC, SK Hynix, and Samsung — drove half the year’s gains.

    • Attribution Wins & Losses: Outperformance came from underweights in Saudi and India and strong stock selection in Taiwan and Korea; cash drag and poor selection in China/South Africa weighed.

    • Passive Still Average: The MSCI EM ETF again landed near the 50th percentile, continuing a long-term trend of middling returns versus active peers.

    A Strong Year for Emerging Markets

    Active GEM funds enjoyed one of their strongest years in over a decade, delivering an impressive average return of 32.2% in 2025 — their second-best annual performance in the last 15 years. Despite falling just short of the iShares MSCI EM ETF, nearly half of active managers managed to outperform the benchmark.

    The top of the performance table was dominated by South Korea-heavy strategies, with Macquarie and a cluster of Value and GARP-oriented funds leading the charge. GARP strategies emerged as the best-performing style group, posting average returns of 37.8%, followed closely by Value funds at 36.5%. In contrast, Aggressive Growth funds lagged well behind, averaging just 25.97%, while Small and Midcap strategies also underperformed.  With an 83% gap between the best and worst performer, it once again highlights the breadth and diversity of the EM active universe.

    Asian Technology Drives Returns

    The charts below break down the components of the 32% average return for active GEM funds in 2025, using a portfolio based on managers’ aggregate holdings. At the sector level, Technology was by far the largest contributor, adding 13.2% to returns. Financials followed at 7.6%, with Communication Services, Consumer Discretionary, Industrials, and Materials each contributing between 2.5% and 3%.

    From a country perspective, Taiwan, South Korea, and China & Hong Kong were the dominant drivers, together contributing 23.5% — around 70% of total returns. Leading country-sector combinations included South Korea and Taiwan Technology. On the downside, a handful of areas pulled returns lower, with India Tech, Argentina Tech, and Indonesian Financials together costing just under 0.9%.

    Stock Level Influence
    At the stock level, just 10 names accounted for half of the year’s returns — led by TSMC, SK Hynix, and Samsung Electronics. Standout gains from select South Korean stocks, including SK Hynix and SK Square, were major contributors, as were gold miners like Anglogold Ashanti and Gold Fields.

    Losses were fewer and generally more modest. However, well-held positions in Meituan and Infosys weighed on performance, ranking among the year’s key detractors.

    Performance Attribution – Where Funds Beat the Benchmark
    The chart below highlights the main sources of outperformance and underperformance versus the benchmark at the country level. The biggest contributors were large underweights in Saudi Arabia and India, alongside strong stock selection in Taiwan and South Korea.

    On the negative side, returns were held back by cash drag, overweights in Argentina and Indonesia, and weak stock selection in China and South Africa.

    Stock Attribution
    Active EM managers gained from net overweights in key outperformers such as SK Hynix and SK Square, with smaller positive contributions from Delta Electronics and ASPEED Technologies. Underweights in weaker names — including Meituan, Saudi Aramco, International Company for Water & Power, and Xiaomi — also added to relative performance.

    On the negative side, a 2.5% net cash position limited upside, while underweights in TSMC and Alibaba meant managers missed out on key benchmark gains. Overweights in Globant, MakeMyTrip, and MercadoLibre also detracted from relative returns.

    Long-Term Performance
    This year’s mild underperformance adds to a small shortfall in 2024, yet the broader picture remains clear: over the past 22 years, active GEM funds have outperformed in 14 of them — and typically by a greater margin than in the years they’ve lagged.

    Meanwhile, the iShares MSCI EM ETF has consistently delivered middling results, rarely straying far from the 50th percentile and never ranking among the top performers. For investors seeking to capture the full potential of EM, a purely passive approach has proven to be — at best — an average decision.

    Performance & Attribution Report

    Click the link opposite for full charts and data detailing the drivers of 2025 performance, along with a review of 3-, 5-, and 10-year results across the active EM peer group.